Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Loot

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Loot game?

Co-op Campaign + Loot

Only 8 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Loot game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.9k against a market of $1.5k. 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 90% on the market, 14 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Loot
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Loot: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Top 25% $123k (exactly $123,094)
Top 5% $7.0M (exactly $7,024,244)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 30
Announced 14
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Loot
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $44.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 170,703 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.1k, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $120k, 1 in 20 over $7.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Borderlands 3 older $59.99 127,847 81% 3.8M $230M (exactly $230,086,246) Gearbox Software
Jagged Alliance 3 older $44.99 10,882 89% 326k $15M (exactly $14,687,435) Haemimont Games
Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition $39.99 5,855 86% 176k $7.0M (exactly $7,024,244) Blizzard Entertainment, Inc.
RUNNING WITH RIFLES older $14.99 14,676 87% 440k $6.6M (exactly $6,599,797) Osumia Games
The Incredible Adventures of Van Helsing: Final Cut older $44.99 1,959 76% 59k $2.6M (exactly $2,644,062) NeocoreGames
Nine Parchments older $19.99 4,123 77% 124k $2.5M (exactly $2,472,563) Frozenbyte
Godfall Ultimate Edition older $39.99 1,707 63% 51k $2.0M (exactly $2,047,888) Counterplay Games Inc
Karnage Chronicles older $24.99 1,190 85% 36k $892k (exactly $892,143) Nordic Trolls
Kitaria Fables older $19.99 1,253 73% 38k $751k (exactly $751,424) Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios
The Incredible Adventures of Van Helsing III older $14.99 1,211 64% 36k $545k (exactly $544,587) NeocoreGames
Astroloot · EA $6.99 587 92% 18k $123k (exactly $123,094) Andreas Hager Gaming
Into Black $29.99 125 87% 3.8k $112k (exactly $112,462) The Binary Mill
Cryptr $7.99 12 75% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) instructions unclear
Anomaly Living $6.99 13 84% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) TreekSamrix
MannaRites Gold $4.99 14 92% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) DamonWall
Cloak And Coin · EA $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) netDOT
Questwood $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Lyrical Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.