Do I ship it?

GamesCo-op CampaignCo-op Campaign + Investigation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Investigation game?

Co-op Campaign + Investigation

Only 5 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Investigation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Big Walk, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×7.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $210k against a market of $1.5k. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 140.4 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×7.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Investigation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Investigation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $600 (exactly $600)
Median $210k (exactly $210,389)
Top 25% $2.6M (exactly $2,573,912)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $19,472,259)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 29
Announced 15
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Investigation
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 70,253 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $210k, 1 in 4 over $2.5M, 1 in 20 over $19M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 15 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Big Walk $19.99 32,470 95% 974k $19M (exactly $19,472,259) House House
We Were Here Together older $12.99 14,481 82% 434k $5.6M (exactly $5,643,246) Total Mayhem Games
Operation: Tango older $19.99 7,167 86% 215k $4.3M (exactly $4,298,050) Clever Plays
We Were Here Too older $9.99 9,005 78% 270k $2.7M (exactly $2,698,798) Total Mayhem Games
Escape Simulator 2 $19.99 4,292 92% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,573,912) Pine Studio
How 2 Escape older $12.99 684 71% 21k $267k (exactly $266,555) Breakfirst Games
Parallel Experiment $9.99 702 84% 21k $210k (exactly $210,389) Eleven Puzzles
The Devourer: Hunted Souls · EA older $9.99 506 78% 15k $152k (exactly $151,648) ZTEK Studio
Escape Memoirs: Mansion Heist older $7.99 482 85% 14k $116k (exactly $115,535) 0 Deer Soft
First Class Escape: The Train of Thought older $6.99 464 69% 14k $97k (exactly $97,301) 0 Deer Soft
Vanova's Stories $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Madgik Yarn Studio
Escape Hades's jails VR · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 1mPaCt' (JSD), DasProfGames (AL)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.