Do I ship it?

Games › Co-op Campaign › Co-op Campaign + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Co-op Campaign game?

Co-op Campaign + Futuristic

Only 16 developers shipped a Futuristic Co-op Campaign game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Industrial Annihilation, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×1.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×124 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 37 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 37 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $3.6k → $30 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 25% $42k (exactly $41,658)
Top 5% $185k (exactly $185,338)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 45
Announced 37
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Action, Adventure
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 60% positive over 712 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $41k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic) 2009 · $12M Operation: Tango 2021 · $4.3M Raw Data 2017 · $2.4M Red Solstice 2: Survivors 2021 · $1.2M NeuroVoider 2016 · $206k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic) older $49.99 8,084 85% 243k $12M (exactly $12,123,575) Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac/Linux))
Operation: Tango older $19.99 7,167 86% 215k $4.3M (exactly $4,298,050) Clever Plays
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
Red Solstice 2: Survivors older $14.99 2,585 70% 78k $1.2M (exactly $1,162,474) Ironward
NeuroVoider older $13.99 492 77% 15k $206k (exactly $206,492) Flying Oak Games
Industrial Annihilation · EA $29.99 206 27% 6.2k $185k (exactly $185,338) Galactic Annihilation
La Quimera · EA $29.99 167 51% 5.0k $150k (exactly $150,250) Reburn
Revolgear Zero $14.99 125 98% 3.8k $56k (exactly $56,212) Bikkuri Software
Astrumis - Survive Together $9.99 139 70% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) Tyci
Titan Isles $24.99 40 95% 1.2k $30k (exactly $29,988) Psytec Games Ltd
Rolling Ball: HD Remaster $59.99 2 50% 60 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) SUNYU Games
TOJIBO $4.99 21 90% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Vermeil Soft
Arvoch Alliance SE $14.99 4 75% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) StarWraith 3D Games LLC
Pixel Arcade · EA $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) CJG Studio
SPASE DEFENSE $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Leo Torrijos

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.