Do I ship it?

Games › Co-op Campaign › Co-op Campaign + Dark Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Co-op Campaign game?

Co-op Campaign + Dark Fantasy

Only 11 developers shipped a Dark-Fantasy Co-op Campaign game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×1.9 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $7.0M, ×4689 the market median. Revenue is up 315% on the market; 28 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 315% on the market, 28 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Dark Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Dark Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $600 (exactly $600)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $31,245)
Top 5% $7.0M (exactly $7,024,244)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 32
Announced 28
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 315% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Dark Fantasy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 6,180 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $7.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 28 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Baldur's Gate 3 2023 · $1.4B Gloomhaven 2021 · $14M Dungeons 3 2017 · $11M Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition 2026 · $7.0M Warhammer: Chaosbane 2019 · $2.9M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Baldur's Gate 3 older $59.99 755,010 96% 23M $1.4B (exactly $1,358,791,497) Larian Studios
Gloomhaven older $34.99 13,628 82% 409k $14M (exactly $14,305,312) Flaming Fowl Studios, Saber Interactive
Dungeons 3 older $29.99 12,648 93% 379k $11M (exactly $11,379,406) Realmforge Studios
Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition $39.99 5,855 86% 176k $7.0M (exactly $7,024,244) Blizzard Entertainment, Inc.
Warhammer: Chaosbane older $29.99 3,274 60% 98k $2.9M (exactly $2,945,618) Eko Software
The Incredible Adventures of Van Helsing: Final Cut older $44.99 1,959 76% 59k $2.6M (exactly $2,644,062) NeocoreGames
Hammerwatch II older $24.99 1,871 60% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,402,689) Crackshell
Frozen Flame · EA older $19.99 2,231 61% 67k $1.3M (exactly $1,337,931) Dreamside Interactive
Salt and Sacrifice older $19.99 1,738 62% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,042,279) Devoured Studios, Ska Studios
The Incredible Adventures of Van Helsing III older $14.99 1,211 64% 36k $545k (exactly $544,587) NeocoreGames
Saint Slayer: Spear of Sacrilege $9.99 109 94% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,667) Lillymo Games
Soul Chained $6.99 149 71% 4.5k $31k (exactly $31,245) Andrew Nicolaou
Kingdoms And Slaves $6.99 23 82% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) TGM
Dark Pact $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Crimson Gaze
Cryptr $7.99 12 75% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) instructions unclear
MannaRites Gold $4.99 14 92% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) DamonWall
Seal of Shadows $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Cris Litvin
Blood & Money $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Paradise Multimedia
Divine Ruins · EA $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Blank Page Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.