Do I ship it?

Games › Class-Based › Class-Based + Turn-Based

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Class-Based game?

Class-Based + Turn-Based

Only 12 developers shipped a Turn-Based Class-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Romancing SaGa 2: Revenge of the Seven, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $7.8k against a market of $1.5k. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 5.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 23740% on the market, 22 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Class-Based + Turn-Based
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $54k → $37k → $5.8k → $41k
Outcomes for Class-Based + Turn-Based: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Median $7.8k (exactly $7,792)
Top 25% $963k (exactly $963,359)
Top 5% $5.9M (exactly $5,880,324)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 53
Announced 22
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 23735% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Class-Based
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Turn-Based
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Class-Based, Turn-Based
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 6,309 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.1k, median $7.8k, 1 in 4 over $960k, 1 in 20 over $5.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Class-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  2. + Bullet HeavenFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 38 announced
  3. + SupernaturalLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  4. + 2D PlatformerLong shot26 devs · median $539 · 30 announced
  5. + FPSPoor odds22 devs · median $70k · 70 announced
  6. + MMORPGPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  7. + Base BuildingPoor odds18 devs · median $33k · 44 announced
  8. + WarPoor odds17 devs · median $32k · 59 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds16 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds17 devs · median $13k · 42 announced
  11. + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  12. + WargamePoor odds14 devs · median $9.4k · 28 announced

All 111 pairs on the Class-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gloomhaven 2021 · $14M Romancing SaGa 2: Revenge of the Seven 2024 · $5.9M Fell Seal: Arbiter's Mark 2019 · $4.5M BRAVELY DEFAULT II 2021 · $3.1M FINAL FANTASY IV 2021 · $1.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gloomhaven older $34.99 13,628 82% 409k $14M (exactly $14,305,312) Flaming Fowl Studios, Saber Interactive
Romancing SaGa 2: Revenge of the Seven $49.99 3,921 93% 118k $5.9M (exactly $5,880,324) Square Enix, xeen Inc.
Fell Seal: Arbiter's Mark older $29.99 4,989 88% 150k $4.5M (exactly $4,488,603) 6 Eyes Studio
BRAVELY DEFAULT II older $59.99 1,732 80% 52k $3.1M (exactly $3,117,080) Square Enix, Claytechworks
FINAL FANTASY IV older $17.99 2,807 91% 84k $1.5M (exactly $1,514,938) Square Enix
Final Fantasy III (3D Remake) older $15.99 3,011 81% 90k $1.4M (exactly $1,444,377) Square Enix
FINAL FANTASY III older $17.99 2,639 93% 79k $1.4M (exactly $1,424,268) Square Enix
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
FINAL FANTASY V older $17.99 2,332 89% 70k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,580) Square Enix
FINAL FANTASY II older $11.99 3,255 82% 98k $1.2M (exactly $1,170,824) Square Enix
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games
BRAVELY DEFAULT FLYING FAIRY HD Remaster $39.99 803 91% 24k $963k (exactly $963,359) Square Enix, Cattle Call Inc.
Guards II: Chaos in Hell $15.99 125 96% 3.8k $60k (exactly $59,962) Battlecruiser Games
Future War Tactics: SOF vs Alien Invasion – Turn-Based Strategy $9.99 138 60% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,359) QuadCom Interactive
Soulkin $9.99 26 88% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Tambu Digital
Seekers of Eclipse $10.99 22 86% 660 $7.3k (exactly $7,253) ThinKING Cat Games
Navigating The Labyrinth $14.99 13 76% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) Dragon Dropper
Toward The Ice $14.99 12 41% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Dragon Dropper
2048 - Dungeons $4.99 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Retroverse Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.