Do I ship it?

Games › Class-Based › Class-Based + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG Class-Based game?

Class-Based + Tactical RPG

Of 57 developers who shipped a Tactical RPG Class-Based game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 149 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.0k, ×4.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $3.5M, ×2347 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 149 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 149 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Class-Based + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 57
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.2k → $9.9k → $535k → $4.1k → $60k → $7.2k → $2.7k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Class-Based + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 57
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $7.0k (exactly $7,015)
Top 25% $60k (exactly $59,962)
Top 5% $3.5M (exactly $3,516,321)
Developers, 2 yr 57
Released games 146
Announced 149
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Class-Based
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Class-Based, Tactical RPG; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Turn-Based Tactics, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $44.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $44.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 22,410 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $7.0k, 1 in 4 over $59k, 1 in 20 over $3.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 7 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 149 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Class-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  2. + Bullet HeavenFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 38 announced
  3. + SupernaturalLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  4. + 2D PlatformerLong shot26 devs · median $539 · 30 announced
  5. + FPSPoor odds22 devs · median $70k · 70 announced
  6. + MMORPGPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  7. + Base BuildingPoor odds18 devs · median $33k · 44 announced
  8. + WarPoor odds17 devs · median $32k · 59 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds16 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds17 devs · median $13k · 42 announced
  11. + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  12. + WargamePoor odds14 devs · median $9.4k · 28 announced

All 111 pairs on the Class-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gloomhaven 2021 · $14M FINAL FANTASY TACTICS - The Ivalice Chronicles 2025 · $8.5M Shadow Gambit: The Cursed Crew 2023 · $6.2M Romancing SaGa 2: Revenge of the Seven 2024 · $5.9M Fell Seal: Arbiter's Mark 2019 · $4.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gloomhaven older $34.99 13,628 82% 409k $14M (exactly $14,305,312) Flaming Fowl Studios, Saber Interactive
FINAL FANTASY TACTICS - The Ivalice Chronicles $49.99 5,673 89% 170k $8.5M (exactly $8,507,798) Square Enix
Shadow Gambit: The Cursed Crew older $39.99 5,190 91% 156k $6.2M (exactly $6,226,443) Mimimi Games
Romancing SaGa 2: Revenge of the Seven $49.99 3,921 93% 118k $5.9M (exactly $5,880,324) Square Enix, xeen Inc.
Fell Seal: Arbiter's Mark older $29.99 4,989 88% 150k $4.5M (exactly $4,488,603) 6 Eyes Studio
Solasta II · EA $39.99 2,931 75% 88k $3.5M (exactly $3,516,321) Tactical Adventures
Sunderfolk $49.99 1,890 93% 57k $2.8M (exactly $2,834,433) Secret Door
NORSE: Oath of Blood $34.99 2,535 56% 76k $2.7M (exactly $2,660,990) Arctic Hazard
Stolen Realm older $19.99 3,470 84% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,080,959) Burst2Flame Games
Our Adventurer Guild older $14.99 3,392 95% 102k $1.5M (exactly $1,525,382) GreenGuy
Three Kingdoms Mushouden $24.99 1,876 72% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,406,437) NanBei Studio
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games
Dice Gambit $24.99 1,080 87% 32k $810k (exactly $809,676) Chromatic Ink
Fantasy Maiden Wars - DREAM OF THE STRAY DREAMER - $34.99 582 98% 17k $611k (exactly $610,925) さんぼん堂
New Arc Line · EA $24.99 687 68% 21k $515k (exactly $515,044) Dreamate

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.