Games › Class-Based › Class-Based + Sports
Should I ship a Sports Class-Based game?
Class-Based + Sports
Only 15 developers shipped a Sports Class-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Run from the Cops!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $99k, ×66 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 27 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) |
| Top 25% | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) |
| Top 5% | $100k (exactly $99,575) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 550% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Class-Based
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Sports
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Class-Based, Sports
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 827 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Class-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Bullet HeavenFair
- + SupernaturalLong shot
- + 2D PlatformerLong shot
- + FPSPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Run from the Cops! | $39.99 | 83 92% | 2.5k | $100k (exactly $99,575) | CAPITAL RUN | |
| | Beetleball | $7.99 | 354 93% | 11k | $85k (exactly $84,854) | Bugfight Studio | |
| | Goons: Legends & Mayhem | older | $19.99 | 77 84% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $46,177) | RageCure Games |
| | Smash it Wild: Tactical Volleyball Roguelike | $11.99 | 106 83% | 3.2k | $38k (exactly $38,128) | Goblinz Studio, Ernestine | |
| | PowerWash Adventure | older | $7.99 | 93 75% | 2.8k | $22k (exactly $22,292) | Grass Digital Technology |
| | Gridiron Masters '98 | · EA | $9.99 | 27 81% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Software98 |
| | Dorts : A Darts Roguelike | $8.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $6.2k (exactly $6,203) | MovingPixels | |
| | Go Babies | $0.99 | 97 81% | 2.9k | $2.9k (exactly $2,881) | ZERO5GAMES | |
| | Rotate or Die | $0.99 | 94 84% | 2.8k | $2.8k (exactly $2,792) | ZERO5GAMES | |
| | Sokker | $2.99 | 29 86% | 870 | $2.6k (exactly $2,601) | Sokpop Collective | |
| | .FARM RACING. | $4.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | KOTOMANN | |
| | FootballLife | $17.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $1.6k (exactly $1,619) | 小伍 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.