Do I ship it?

GamesClass-BasedClass-Based + RTS

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Class-Based RTS?

Class-Based + RTS

Only 9 developers shipped a Class-Based RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tower Dominion, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240. 34 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 34 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Class-Based + RTS
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $34k → $4.5k → $223k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Class-Based + RTS: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,491)
Top 5% $2.7M (exactly $2,684,890)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 33
Announced 34
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Class-Based
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Class-Based, RTS
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 10,411 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $2.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 34 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Class-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  2. + Bullet HeavenFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 38 announced
  3. + SupernaturalLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  4. + 2D PlatformerLong shot26 devs · median $539 · 30 announced
  5. + FPSPoor odds22 devs · median $70k · 70 announced
  6. + MMORPGPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  7. + Base BuildingPoor odds18 devs · median $33k · 44 announced
  8. + WarPoor odds17 devs · median $32k · 59 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds16 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds17 devs · median $13k · 42 announced
  11. + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  12. + WargamePoor odds14 devs · median $9.4k · 28 announced

All 111 pairs on the Class-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tower Dominion $17.49 5,117 85% 154k $2.7M (exactly $2,684,890) Parallel 45 Games
Satellite Reign older $29.99 2,619 75% 79k $2.4M (exactly $2,356,314) 5 Lives Studios
The Pioneers: Surviving Desolation · EA older $29.99 397 63% 12k $357k (exactly $357,181) Supercube
Mud and Blood · EA older $12.99 861 87% 26k $336k (exactly $335,532) urbgames
Cube Chaos $11.99 621 95% 19k $223k (exactly $223,374) Wunarg
Fire Commander older $14.99 325 66% 9.8k $146k (exactly $146,152) Atomic Wolf, Pixel Crow Games
Gemini Wars older $9.99 141 32% 4.2k $42k (exactly $42,258) Camel 101
Rebirth evolution older $8.99 125 61% 3.8k $34k (exactly $33,712) 异界游网络科技
Zombo Buster Advance older $4.99 184 82% 5.5k $28k (exactly $27,545) FIREBEAST
Ruzar - The Dark Stones older $17.99 21 76% 630 $11k (exactly $11,334) Hammer Glass Studio Inc.
Marshals of Yore $4.99 30 90% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) One Man Horde
Starlight Mining Company $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Glophouse Labs LLC
Nocturn · EA $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) One Eye Games
Sears: The Sky Frontier $5.99 3 33% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Acoma Games
150 Floors · EA $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Bindlestick Media
RIXE $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) OURAGAN
Slimedrop Laboratory $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Laxias Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.