Do I ship it?

GamesClass-BasedClass-Based + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Class-Based game?

Class-Based + Robots

Only 6 developers shipped a paid Robot Class-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Roboquest VR, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 24 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.7k against a market of $1.5k. 24 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 1585% on the market, 24 announced, ×8.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Class-Based + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Class-Based + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $25,179)
Top 5% $355k (exactly $355,382)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 25
Announced 24
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1585% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 56%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Class-Based
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Class-Based
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,956 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $25k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Class-Based with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  2. + Bullet HeavenFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 38 announced
  3. + SupernaturalLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  4. + 2D PlatformerLong shot26 devs · median $539 · 30 announced
  5. + FPSPoor odds22 devs · median $70k · 70 announced
  6. + MMORPGPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  7. + Base BuildingPoor odds18 devs · median $33k · 44 announced
  8. + WarPoor odds17 devs · median $32k · 59 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds16 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds17 devs · median $13k · 42 announced
  11. + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  12. + WargamePoor odds14 devs · median $9.4k · 28 announced

All 111 pairs on the Class-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PULSAR: Lost Colony older $19.99 4,409 89% 132k $2.6M (exactly $2,644,077) Leafy Games
Roboquest VR $29.99 395 87% 12k $355k (exactly $355,382) Flat2VR Studios, RyseUp Studios
Ultra Mega Cats · EA $11.99 70 74% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Fallen Leaf, Unseen Silence, Black Drak… (Fallen Leaf, Unseen Silence, Black Drakkar Games)
Combots · EA older $4.99 33 90% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) HardEdge Games
Overrun Survivors · EA older $4.99 30 56% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Midquest Games
MegaBattle $13.99 4 100% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) MadCat Corp, Cavylabs
Enginehero $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) MelonCow LLC
Grave-Queen · EA older $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Fang Of Moon
Redaxium older $0.99 10 60% 300 $297 (exactly $297) redratic
Mecha Survivors $2.99 2 50% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Lowie Games SpA
STACK-eRZ · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Smokey

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.