Games › Class-Based › Class-Based + Physics
Should I ship a Physics Class-Based game?
Class-Based + Physics
Only 13 developers shipped a Physics Class-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Birds of War, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.9k, ×2.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×88 the market median. Revenue is up 155% on the market; 47 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) |
| Top 25% | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) |
| Top 5% | $132k (exactly $131,568) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 49 |
| Announced | 47 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 155% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Class-Based
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Class-Based, Physics
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 888 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Class-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + AutomationFair
- + Bullet HeavenFair
- + SupernaturalLong shot
- + 2D PlatformerLong shot
- + FPSPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | TRIBES 3: Rivals | · EA older | $19.99 | 1,324 61% | 40k | $794k (exactly $794,003) | Prophecy Games |
| | SNKRX | older | $2.99 | 4,198 94% | 126k | $377k (exactly $376,561) | a327ex |
| | Fire Commander | older | $14.99 | 325 66% | 9.8k | $146k (exactly $146,152) | Atomic Wolf, Pixel Crow Games |
| | Birds of War | $9.99 | 439 87% | 13k | $132k (exactly $131,568) | HexNest Games | |
| | Rollers of the Realm | older | $9.99 | 375 90% | 11k | $112k (exactly $112,388) | Phantom Compass |
| | Ironlights | older | $19.99 | 146 78% | 4.4k | $88k (exactly $87,556) | E McNeill |
| | Beetleball | $7.99 | 354 93% | 11k | $85k (exactly $84,854) | Bugfight Studio | |
| | Goons: Legends & Mayhem | older | $19.99 | 77 84% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $46,177) | RageCure Games |
| | PowerWash Adventure | older | $7.99 | 93 75% | 2.8k | $22k (exactly $22,292) | Grass Digital Technology |
| | PowerWash Adventure VR | older | $6.99 | 90 74% | 2.7k | $19k (exactly $18,873) | Grass Digital Technology |
| | Dorts : A Darts Roguelike | $8.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $6.2k (exactly $6,203) | MovingPixels | |
| | Battle Squares | $9.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | Feesh Studio | |
| | MotorCubs RC | $12.99 | 11 72% | 330 | $4.3k (exactly $4,287) | Draisey Digital LLC | |
| | Gigils: Chomp Together | $7.99 | 17 64% | 510 | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) | Missset | |
| | Push & Plunder | $9.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Skylor Beck | |
| | Broad Sword | $11.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) | Refractal Studio | |
| | BattleHeights | · EA | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Wondersoft Studio |
| | Brick By Brick | $4.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Delirium Tremens Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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