Do I ship it?

GamesClass-BasedClass-Based + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Class-Based game?

Class-Based + Logic

Only 13 developers shipped a Logic Class-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Future War Tactics: SOF vs Alien Invasion – Turn-Based Strategy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $390 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 18 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Class-Based + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $390 → $899 → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Class-Based + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $5.0k (exactly $5,034)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $41,359)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 28
Announced 18
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Class-Based
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Class-Based, Logic
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 75% positive over 298 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Class-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  2. + Bullet HeavenFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 38 announced
  3. + SupernaturalLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  4. + 2D PlatformerLong shot26 devs · median $539 · 30 announced
  5. + FPSPoor odds22 devs · median $70k · 70 announced
  6. + MMORPGPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  7. + Base BuildingPoor odds18 devs · median $33k · 44 announced
  8. + WarPoor odds17 devs · median $32k · 59 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds16 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds17 devs · median $13k · 42 announced
  11. + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  12. + WargamePoor odds14 devs · median $9.4k · 28 announced

All 111 pairs on the Class-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Quantum Protocol older $12.99 625 90% 19k $244k (exactly $243,562) Kaio Meris
Roll Player - The Board Game older $14.99 180 91% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Mipmap Digital
Future War Tactics: SOF vs Alien Invasion – Turn-Based Strategy $9.99 138 60% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,359) QuadCom Interactive
Business War: ERP Sandbox Simulation $15.99 33 84% 990 $16k (exactly $15,830) 夜与潜伏者
Hacky $4.99 95 93% 2.9k $14k (exactly $14,222) Cuddle Code
DungeonSweeper $7.99 21 76% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Smoketree Studios
HexTD · EA older $4.99 27 70% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Detective Games
Sokoban (Boxman) Classic older $6.99 9 77% 270 $1.9k (exactly $1,887) JChip Game
Christmas Fables: The Wishing Store Collector's Edition $8.99 4 50% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Do Games Limited
Wolftown $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Portponky
Sudoku Dungeon $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Sincere Pixels
Gambit Loop $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Delirium Tremens Games
Stock Guru? $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Alexcured
RetroFight $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Patate Douce Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.