Do I ship it?

GamesClass-BasedClass-Based + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror Class-Based game?

Class-Based + Horror

Of 21 developers who shipped a Horror Class-Based game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $880k, ×592 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 57 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 57 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Class-Based + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $119 → $3.4k → $899 → $49k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Class-Based + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $7.2k (exactly $7,195)
Top 5% $887k (exactly $886,956)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 50
Announced 57
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Class-Based
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Class-Based; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvE, RPG
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Dark, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 63% positive over 3,985 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $880k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Class-Based with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  2. + Bullet HeavenFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 38 announced
  3. + SupernaturalLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  4. + 2D PlatformerLong shot26 devs · median $539 · 30 announced
  5. + FPSPoor odds22 devs · median $70k · 70 announced
  6. + MMORPGPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  7. + Base BuildingPoor odds18 devs · median $33k · 44 announced
  8. + WarPoor odds17 devs · median $32k · 59 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds16 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds17 devs · median $13k · 42 announced
  11. + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  12. + WargamePoor odds14 devs · median $9.4k · 28 announced

All 111 pairs on the Class-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Deep Rock Galactic older $29.99 303,142 97% 9.1M $273M (exactly $272,736,857) Ghost Ship Games
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide older $39.99 108,477 72% 3.3M $130M (exactly $130,139,857) Fatshark
Killing Floor older $19.99 39,850 95% 1.2M $24M (exactly $23,898,045) Tripwire Interactive
SKALD: Against the Black Priory older $14.99 3,325 93% 100k $1.5M (exactly $1,495,252) High North Studios AS
FBC: Firebreak $19.99 1,985 65% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,190,404) Remedy Entertainment
The Midnight Walkers · EA $19.99 1,479 54% 44k $887k (exactly $886,956) Oneway Ticket Studio
Kingdom of Night $19.99 326 86% 9.8k $196k (exactly $195,502) Friends of Safety
Vade Retro : Exorcist older $6.99 921 70% 28k $193k (exactly $193,134) Forceight
MÖRK BORG Heresy Supreme · EA $19.99 81 77% 2.4k $49k (exactly $48,576) Morbidware
Deadnaut: Signal Lost older $14.99 92 85% 2.8k $41k (exactly $41,372) Screwfly Studios
Board Game Society $14.99 29 62% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Jetebra Games
Minerva Labyrinth $14.99 16 100% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Midnight Spire Games
BAR $5.99 20 70% 600 $3.6k (exactly $3,594) TechieMay
Make It Count $7.99 14 50% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Sky Games
New Meat $4.99 21 100% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Alex Lemley
JunkTok: Paranormal Investigators Challenge $4.99 14 64% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) nordissimo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.