Do I ship it?

GamesClass-BasedClass-Based + Grid-Based Movement

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Grid-Based Movement Class-Based game?

Class-Based + Grid-Based Movement

Of 27 developers who shipped a Grid-Based Movement Class-Based game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 92 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×2.0 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×93 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 92 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 92 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Class-Based + Grid-Based Movement
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $3.6k → $60k → $7.2k → $1.5k (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Class-Based + Grid-Based Movement: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,055)
Top 25% $32k (exactly $31,784)
Top 5% $139k (exactly $139,241)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 80
Announced 92
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Class-Based
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Class-Based, Grid-Based Movement; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Dungeon Crawler, Party-Based RPG
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,602 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 92 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Class-Based with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  2. + Bullet HeavenFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 38 announced
  3. + SupernaturalLong shot18 devs · median $599 · 21 announced
  4. + 2D PlatformerLong shot26 devs · median $539 · 30 announced
  5. + FPSPoor odds22 devs · median $70k · 70 announced
  6. + MMORPGPoor odds7 devs · median $61k · 57 announced
  7. + Base BuildingPoor odds18 devs · median $33k · 44 announced
  8. + WarPoor odds17 devs · median $32k · 59 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds16 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  10. + MilitaryPoor odds17 devs · median $13k · 42 announced
  11. + Third-Person ShooterPoor odds11 devs · median $13k · 53 announced
  12. + WargamePoor odds14 devs · median $9.4k · 28 announced

All 111 pairs on the Class-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games
Capes older $39.99 446 67% 13k $535k (exactly $535,066) Spitfire Interactive
Potato Flowers in Full Bloom older $17.99 654 95% 20k $353k (exactly $352,964) Pon Pon Games
Tiny Tactics older $9.99 661 82% 20k $198k (exactly $198,102) Tiny Forge Gaming
Vestaria Saga II: The Sacred Sword of Silvanister older $19.99 235 87% 7.1k $141k (exactly $140,930) Vestaria Project
Path of the Abyss $6.99 664 92% 20k $139k (exactly $139,241) Suzuki Suzuzou
Dungeon Travelers: To Heart 2 in Another World older $19.99 184 82% 5.5k $110k (exactly $110,345) AQUAPLUS
Together in Battle $19.99 134 90% 4.0k $80k (exactly $80,360) Sinister Design
Telepath Tactics Liberated older $19.99 120 85% 3.6k $72k (exactly $71,964) Sinister Design
Gales of Nayeli $24.99 87 88% 2.6k $65k (exactly $65,224) Blindcoco Studios
Trolddom $9.99 204 94% 6.1k $61k (exactly $61,139) Plant Based Games
Guards II: Chaos in Hell $15.99 125 96% 3.8k $60k (exactly $59,962) Battlecruiser Games
Legends of Amberland III: The Crimson Tower $19.99 53 98% 1.6k $32k (exactly $31,784) Silver Lemur Games
Shadowed: The Demon Castle of Ooe $15.99 56 92% 1.7k $27k (exactly $26,863) Lab Rabbit Games ltd
Board Game Society $14.99 29 62% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Jetebra Games
Funeral Flowers Lament: Helena $16.99 15 73% 450 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) Kiseki Kobo Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.