Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Zombies

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Zombie Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Zombies

Of 40 developers who shipped a Zombie Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×392 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 48 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 48 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Zombies
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $659 → $1.6k → $599 → $3.4k → $1.7k → $629 → $3.9k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Zombies: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Top 25% $6.0k (exactly $5,988)
Top 5% $246k (exactly $245,986)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 121
Announced 48
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Zombies
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, First-Person, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,257 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $5.9k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DayZ older $49.99 387,850 78% 12M $582M (exactly $581,658,645) Bohemia Interactive
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series older $49.99 36,594 96% 1.1M $55M (exactly $54,880,022) Skybound Games
The Walking Dead older $14.99 53,650 97% 1.6M $24M (exactly $24,126,405) Telltale Games
The Walking Dead: Season Two older $14.99 26,848 96% 805k $12M (exactly $12,073,546) Telltale Games
The Walking Dead: The Final Season older $19.99 17,447 94% 523k $10M (exactly $10,462,966) Telltale Games
The Walking Dead: A New Frontier older $14.99 15,482 83% 464k $7.0M (exactly $6,962,255) Telltale Games
The Walking Dead: Michonne - A Telltale Miniseries older $14.99 6,047 80% 181k $2.7M (exactly $2,719,336) Telltale Games
Pathway older $15.99 1,908 76% 57k $915k (exactly $915,268) Robotality
SubZero $9.99 2,719 92% 82k $815k (exactly $814,884) Joy Media Limited
Sophie: The Girl From The Zone $14.99 547 87% 16k $246k (exactly $245,986) DavyCroquetteGame
Pirates VR: Jolly Roger $19.99 212 76% 6.4k $127k (exactly $127,136) Split Light Studio
Lustful Dead 🔞 $9.99 267 49% 8.0k $80k (exactly $80,020) BanzaiProject
Punishment NyanNyan R $8.99 163 95% 4.9k $44k (exactly $43,961) ぬるぬる坊主
108 Silly Ways to Die $10.99 115 73% 3.5k $38k (exactly $37,916) SEED Studio
World of Witchcraft $9.99 94 59% 2.8k $28k (exactly $28,172) Mystic Sin Creations
Saviour of the Wasteland $9.99 84 78% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) PTGames
Giggle Night: Trixie's Trial · EA $19.99 16 81% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Anaximanes Entertainment
Only Out $4.99 40 95% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Shark Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.