Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + World War II

Only 4 developers shipped a WWII Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 10 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.7k against a market of $630. 5 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 5 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Median $14k (exactly $14,024)
Top 25% $48k (exactly $47,602)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,025,744)
Developers, 4 yr 10
Released games 30
Announced 5
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 17,514 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $47k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 5 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hooked on You: A Dead by Daylight Dating Sim™ older $9.99 6,039 90% 181k $1.8M (exactly $1,809,888) Psyop
Rule the Waves 3 older $39.99 855 87% 26k $1.0M (exactly $1,025,744) Naval Warfare Simulations
Cyanotype Daydream -The Girl Who Dreamed the World- older $39.99 710 88% 21k $852k (exactly $851,787) Laplacian
SEX with HITLER older $6.99 3,358 81% 101k $704k (exactly $704,173) Adolf Games
Sex with Stalin older $5.99 2,217 83% 67k $398k (exactly $398,395) Mova Games
Gerda: A Flame in Winter older $19.99 498 94% 15k $299k (exactly $298,651) BirdIsland/PortaPlay
Attentat 1942 older $10.99 448 92% 13k $148k (exactly $147,706) Charles Games
Seek Girl Ⅱ older $1.99 2,398 81% 72k $143k (exactly $143,161) DSGame
FURRY HITLER older $6.99 677 78% 20k $142k (exactly $141,967) Furry Tails
Wallace & Gromit’s Grand Adventures older $14.99 314 89% 9.4k $141k (exactly $141,206) Telltale
Grizzly Man $8.99 52 90% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,024) LCB Game Studio
Get In Get Out $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Wessi
Survive, Resist, Collaborate - a World War 2 Choice-Based Story $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Asterism Games
6days $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) TechAzy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.