Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Western

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Western Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Western

Only 7 developers shipped a Western Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WANTED: Wild Sluts 🔞, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.9k against a market of $630. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 330% on the market, 11 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Western
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Western: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,875)
Top 25% $9.7k (exactly $9,712)
Top 5% $63k (exactly $62,958)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 25
Announced 11
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 330% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Western
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $26.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 6,159 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $9.7k, 1 in 20 over $62k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wild West Legacy older $26.99 1,706 39% 51k $1.4M (exactly $1,381,348) Moon Punch Studio
Arco older $19.99 2,185 96% 66k $1.3M (exactly $1,310,344) Franek, Max Cahill, Bibiki, Fáyer
The Oregon Trail older $29.99 1,220 79% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,097,634) Gameloft
Exoplanet: First Contact · EA older $19.99 230 73% 6.9k $138k (exactly $137,931) Alersteam
Deadwater Saloon older $19.99 186 63% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Tanglefoot Games
Tin Star older $11.99 298 95% 8.9k $107k (exactly $107,191) Hosted Games
WANTED: Wild Sluts 🔞 $14.99 140 68% 4.2k $63k (exactly $62,958) Lewd Star
Star Story: The Horizon Escape older $14.99 104 89% 3.1k $47k (exactly $46,769) EvilCoGames
Cave Digger older $14.90 63 82% 1.9k $28k (exactly $28,161) VRKiwi
Brooks in Wild West $11.99 27 74% 810 $9.7k (exactly $9,712) PiggyNose Games
Broke Signal Badlands: A World of Desert Adventure $14.99 10 90% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Forward Instinct
Again!? The Sheriff’s Kinky Justice $3.29 19 52% 570 $1.9k (exactly $1,875) Myriad
Wild West Saloon Simulator · EA $7.99 5 20% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Walty Games
Checkmate in the Wild West - Chess Adventure $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Grouper Games LLC
Atonement $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Nexus Media

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.