Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Werewolves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Werewolf Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Werewolves

Only 7 developers shipped a Werewolf Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Seven Realms: High Lathión, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.7k, ×9.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×350 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Werewolves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.8k → $12k → $8.8k → $47k → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Werewolves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $3.6k (exactly $3,599)
Median $4.7k (exactly $4,676)
Top 25% $130k (exactly $130,370)
Top 5% $166k (exactly $166,402)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 38
Announced 14
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Werewolves
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,227 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $4.7k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Heart of the Forest older $14.99 805 83% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) Different Tales
The Seven Realms - Realm 1: Terran older $9.99 708 81% 21k $212k (exactly $212,188) SeptCloud Games
The Seven Realms: High Lathión $12.99 427 80% 13k $166k (exactly $166,402) SeptCloud Games
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — The Book of Hungry Names older $19.99 234 92% 7.0k $140k (exactly $140,330) Choice of Games
Changeling Tale older $19.99 218 98% 6.5k $131k (exactly $130,735) Helmet Fox
Monster College $9.99 435 95% 13k $130k (exactly $130,370) Monster Eye Games
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Purgatory older $14.99 104 79% 3.1k $47k (exactly $46,769) Different Tales
A College of Thirst & Claws · EA $11.99 117 73% 3.5k $42k (exactly $42,085) SeptCloud Games
Hunter: The Reckoning — The Beast of Glenkildove $11.99 108 91% 3.2k $39k (exactly $38,848) Choice of Games
Rescue Operation older $3.99 253 87% 7.6k $30k (exactly $30,284) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Hunter: The Reckoning — A Time of Monsters $14.99 63 80% 1.9k $28k (exactly $28,331) Choice of Games
Werewolves 3: Evolution's End $8.99 31 96% 930 $8.4k (exactly $8,361) Choice of Games
The Shame of a Daydreamer $12.99 12 83% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Micki
Havenfall is For Lovers $29.99 4 75% 120 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) UNICO INC.
Red Riding Hood 🐺 $4.99 18 88% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) TheBigO Games
The Last Werewolf $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Unnatural Freaks

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.