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Should I ship a War Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Choose Your Own Adventure + War
Of 28 developers who shipped a War Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×564 the market median. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 48 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) |
| Top 25% | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) |
| Top 5% | $354k (exactly $354,423) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 28 |
| Released games | 99 |
| Announced | 48 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
- War
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Choose Your Own Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,769 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + FMVFair
- + FlightFair
- + SportsFair
- + Word GameFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + 3D FighterLong shot
- + NavalPoor odds
Comparable games
Muv-Luv Alternative 2018 · $4.1M 
The Three Kingdoms: Rebirth 2026 · $1.5M 
Heads Will Roll: Reforged 2023 · $1.2M 
Medieval Blacksmith 2025 · $354k 
Rise of Piracy 2026 · EA · $249k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Muv-Luv Alternative | older | $39.99 | 3,447 95% | 103k | $4.1M (exactly $4,135,366) | aNCHOR Inc. |
| | The Three Kingdoms: Rebirth | $19.99 | 2,564 91% | 77k | $1.5M (exactly $1,537,631) | 玛奇阿朵互娱科技, 山与海工作室 | |
| | Heads Will Roll: Reforged | older | $24.99 | 1,642 82% | 49k | $1.2M (exactly $1,231,007) | 1917 Studios |
| | Medieval Blacksmith | $19.99 | 591 79% | 18k | $354k (exactly $354,423) | OGO Play | |
| | Rise of Piracy | · EA | $15.99 | 520 77% | 16k | $249k (exactly $249,444) | IrishJohnGames |
 | The Caribou Trail | $12.99 | 636 90% | 19k | $248k (exactly $247,849) | Unreliable Narrators, Manavoid Entertai… (Unreliable Narrators, Manavoid Entertainment) | |
 | Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) | · EA older | $23.99 | 267 72% | 8.0k | $192k (exactly $192,160) | Happy Daram Inc. |
 | The Bible | older | $4.99 | 965 87% | 29k | $144k (exactly $144,460) | Bible Games |
 | FURRY HITLER | older | $6.99 | 677 78% | 20k | $142k (exactly $141,967) | Furry Tails |
 | Arcadie: Second-Born | older | $7.99 | 389 95% | 12k | $93k (exactly $93,243) | Arcadie & Utopie |
 | 蜀汉再临：源起 Restart ShuHan Dynasty:Origin | $3.99 | 357 76% | 11k | $43k (exactly $42,733) | 浙江海蕊盈信网络科技有限公司 | |
 | Bloodface | $7.99 | 50 70% | 1.5k | $12k (exactly $11,985) | Iron Forge Games | |
 | My Liege | $9.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | SugoiPenguin Gaming | |
 | The Orc Invasion | $10.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $4.3k (exactly $4,286) | ATK Games | |
 | Fastro Dude | $9.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Iron Trails: Outlaw Pursuit | · EA | $17.99 | 7 14% | 210 | $3.8k (exactly $3,778) | Gloac Games, Gloac |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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