Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Vampires

Of 31 developers who shipped a Vampire Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.0k, ×8.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $750k, ×1207 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 43 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 43 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20k → $23k → $3.6k → $57k → $16k → $30k → $718 (still earning) → $42k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Median $5.0k (exactly $5,034)
Top 25% $104k (exactly $104,488)
Top 5% $758k (exactly $757,883)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 84
Announced 43
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Adventure, Visual Novel
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,154 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.6k, median $5.0k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.6k. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cabernet $19.99 2,025 94% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392) Party for Introverts
DRACU-RIOT! $34.99 722 98% 22k $758k (exactly $757,883) YUZUSOFT
Vampire Therapist older $14.99 915 93% 27k $411k (exactly $411,476) Little Bat Games
Vampire: The Masquerade — Night Road older $11.99 698 90% 21k $251k (exactly $251,071) Choice of Games
Sex & Blood: Vampires $9.99 759 71% 23k $227k (exactly $227,472) Taboo Tales 💘
The Seven Realms - Realm 1: Terran older $9.99 708 81% 21k $212k (exactly $212,188) SeptCloud Games
유어 블라이트 · EA older $19.99 296 87% 8.9k $178k (exactly $177,511) IGNOST
The Seven Realms: High Lathión $12.99 427 80% 13k $166k (exactly $166,402) SeptCloud Games
Working Sakuya older $6.99 768 96% 23k $161k (exactly $161,050) ぬるぬる坊主
Marisa of Liartop Mountain $14.99 286 84% 8.6k $129k (exactly $128,614) Alliance Arts, UnknownX
Erannorth Renaissance $19.99 186 81% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Spyridon Thalassinos
Near-Mage $19.99 180 89% 5.4k $108k (exactly $107,946) Stuck In Attic
Suck Up! $16.99 205 62% 6.2k $104k (exactly $104,488) Proxima
The World Well: Blood of Caro $11.99 205 85% 6.2k $74k (exactly $73,738) Nimparth
Futa Nights: Bloody Sluts 💋 $14.99 159 74% 4.8k $72k (exactly $71,502) Dirty Adventures 🖤

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.