Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Trivia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trivia Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Trivia

Only 14 developers shipped a Trivia Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, QSVT: ¡Que se vayan todos!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×14 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $15k, ×132 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 12 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 14.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 12 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Trivia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Trivia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,672)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,042)
Top 5% $16k (exactly $15,728)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 30
Announced 12
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure, Trivia
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 247 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $15k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 12 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Majotori older $5.99 1,880 96% 56k $338k (exactly $337,836) Majorariatto
QSVT: ¡Que se vayan todos! $6.99 75 88% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,728) Sendero tecnológico
Medieval Fantasy Survival Simulator older $1.99 252 96% 7.6k $15k (exactly $15,044) Randumb Studios
MAELSTROM LEGACY: The Tesla Mystery $10.99 36 69% 1.1k $12k (exactly $11,869) Wistfulware
Hologuard $7.99 48 95% 1.4k $12k (exactly $11,506) illuCalab
Who Dies First ? $4.99 27 88% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Stupid games
I Know Everything older $3.99 20 80% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) NLB project
Guess the Flag! $3.99 16 93% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) Source Byte
Quiz Quest $4.99 12 75% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Quiztal Games Limited
Don't Click The Flower $1.99 28 82% 840 $1.7k (exactly $1,672) Studio Leclercq
Life Choices $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) UNICO STUDIO LLC
Damn Love $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Stupid games
Three Quest $4.00 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Max Valentino Calderon Reyes

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.