Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Time Travel

Of 36 developers who shipped a Time-Travel Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.7k, ×7.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×684 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 45 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 45 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $1.8k → $1.4k → $3.4k → $14k → $750 → $2.5k (still earning) → $2.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $3.7k (exactly $3,748)
Top 25% $30k (exactly $30,221)
Top 5% $325k (exactly $325,133)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 88
Announced 45
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Visual Novel, Adventure
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Colorful, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 3,923 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $3.7k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 7 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Life is Strange: Before the Storm older $16.99 33,504 93% 1.0M $17M (exactly $17,076,989) Deck Nine, Feral Interactive (Mac), Fer… (Deck Nine, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux))
Rue Valley $14.99 1,905 69% 57k $857k (exactly $856,678) Emotion Spark Studio
Hashihime of the Old Book Town older $34.99 651 96% 20k $683k (exactly $683,355) ADELTA
Critters for Sale older $9.99 1,805 94% 54k $541k (exactly $540,958) Sonoshee
A Guidebook of Babel older $14.99 877 92% 26k $394k (exactly $394,387) StarryStarry
ALTDEUS: Beyond Chronos older $29.99 379 95% 11k $341k (exactly $340,986) MyDearest Inc.
Eternal Threads older $19.99 543 87% 16k $326k (exactly $325,637) Cosmonaut Studios
Sexbot $14.99 723 86% 22k $325k (exactly $325,133) Llamamann Games
マーダーミステリーパラドクス このひと夏の十五年 older $19.99 249 85% 7.5k $149k (exactly $149,325) 213℉
Yet Another Killing Game $16.99 242 96% 7.3k $123k (exactly $123,347) Soulseer Studios
My Fav Chill Streamer Dies a Million Times|ゆるゆる生配信する推しは100万回死ぬ $34.99 114 92% 3.4k $120k (exactly $119,666) VELUX STUDIO
Mech Academy $9.99 214 91% 6.4k $64k (exactly $64,136) Space Samurai Studio
Time Space Rebuild $4.99 377 76% 11k $56k (exactly $56,437) INNOVATION DREAM
Train and Tame $9.99 184 65% 5.5k $55k (exactly $55,145) Tames Games
Timestamps: Lost Love $19.99 56 82% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Motkeyz Games
Love starts again $15.99 63 71% 1.9k $30k (exactly $30,221) WWWave Corporation
Kill The Clock · EA $14.99 45 88% 1.4k $20k (exactly $20,236) Happy Slugs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.