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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Stealth game?
Stealth + Choose Your Own Adventure
Of 31 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×350 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 72 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $208 (exactly $208) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $2.7k (exactly $2,698) |
| Top 5% | $220k (exactly $219,527) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 31 |
| Released games | 86 |
| Announced | 72 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Stealth
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Stealth, Choose Your Own Adventure; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action-Adventure, Action
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Third Person, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 66% positive over 1,887 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGFair
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
- + DinosaursPoor odds
- + Gun CustomizationPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018 · $310M 
Hero's Adventure: Road to Passion 2023 · $12M 
Directive 8020 2026 · $2.0M 
Claire's Quest: GOLD 2021 · EA · $337k 
Reach 2025 · $220k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed® Odyssey | older | $59.99 | 172,149 89% | 5.2M | $310M (exactly $309,816,555) | Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai) |
| | Hero's Adventure: Road to Passion | older | $17.99 | 22,287 84% | 669k | $12M (exactly $12,028,294) | 半瓶醋工作室（Half Amateur Studio） |
| | Directive 8020 | $49.99 | 1,337 63% | 40k | $2.0M (exactly $2,005,099) | Supermassive Games | |
| | Claire's Quest: GOLD | · EA older | $19.99 | 562 85% | 17k | $337k (exactly $337,031) | Dystopian Project |
| | Reach | $29.99 | 244 66% | 7.3k | $220k (exactly $219,527) | nDreams Elevation | |
 | LoveKami -Divinity Stage- | older | $12.99 | 547 83% | 16k | $213k (exactly $213,166) | MoeNovel |
 | Yolo Space Hacker | older | $24.99 | 208 95% | 6.2k | $156k (exactly $155,938) | BKNLab |
 | Sentimental Death Loop | older | $19.99 | 151 58% | 4.5k | $91k (exactly $90,555) | qureate, IXILL LLC. |
 | The Novelist | older | $4.99 | 553 78% | 17k | $83k (exactly $82,784) | Orthogonal Games |
 | Roxanne | $16.99 | 109 73% | 3.3k | $56k (exactly $55,557) | uwugames | |
 | Hank: Drowning On Dry Land | $2.99 | 140 95% | 4.2k | $13k (exactly $12,558) | My Next Games | |
 | CROW | $9.99 | 27 85% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Uniday Studio | |
 | Under the Table | $29.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $4.5k (exactly $4,498) | RB Ashton | |
 | Iron Trails: Outlaw Pursuit | · EA | $17.99 | 7 14% | 210 | $3.8k (exactly $3,778) | Gloac Games, Gloac |
 | Another World Series -Slit Mouth Woman VS AOONI- | $17.99 | 5 40% | 150 | $2.7k (exactly $2,698) | YMCAT/Regista | |
 | Red Panda: The Quiet Path | $8.99 | 9 44% | 270 | $2.4k (exactly $2,427) | Uberbax-Gaming | |
 | Backrooms Interception | $19.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | Giroshi Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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