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Should I ship a Space Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Choose Your Own Adventure + Space
Of 78 developers who shipped a Space Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 98 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×535 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 98 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
| Top 25% | $10k (exactly $10,490) |
| Top 5% | $336k (exactly $335,731) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 78 |
| Released games | 210 |
| Announced | 98 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
- Space
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.98 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.98 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 7,587 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 43 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 98 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + FMVFair
- + FlightFair
- + SportsFair
- + Word GameFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + 3D FighterLong shot
- + NavalPoor odds
Comparable games
FTL: Faster Than Light 2012 · $19M 
Avorion 2020 · $9.7M 
Star Trek: Voyager - Across the Unknown 2026 · $4.4M 
New Tales from the Borderlands 2022 · $2.1M 
Directive 8020 2026 · $2.0M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | FTL: Faster Than Light | older | $9.99 | 62,763 94% | 1.9M | $19M (exactly $18,810,071) | Subset Games |
| | Avorion | older | $24.99 | 13,001 90% | 390k | $9.7M (exactly $9,746,850) | Boxelware |
| | Star Trek: Voyager - Across the Unknown | $34.99 | 4,162 79% | 125k | $4.4M (exactly $4,368,851) | Gamexcite | |
| | New Tales from the Borderlands | older | $39.99 | 1,737 29% | 52k | $2.1M (exactly $2,083,879) | Gearbox Software |
| | Directive 8020 | $49.99 | 1,337 63% | 40k | $2.0M (exactly $2,005,099) | Supermassive Games | |
 | The Expanse: A Telltale Series | older | $24.99 | 2,372 76% | 71k | $1.8M (exactly $1,778,288) | Deck Nine |
 | 轮回修仙路 | older | $16.99 | 2,945 82% | 88k | $1.5M (exactly $1,501,066) | 烟水寒工作室 |
 | Heaven's Vault | older | $24.99 | 1,958 85% | 59k | $1.5M (exactly $1,467,913) | inkle Ltd |
 | Trigon: Space Story | older | $19.99 | 1,247 67% | 37k | $748k (exactly $747,826) | Sernur.tech |
 | Out There: Ω Edition | older | $14.99 | 1,359 75% | 41k | $611k (exactly $611,142) | Mi-Clos Studio, FibreTigre |
 | Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog | $14.99 | 843 90% | 25k | $379k (exactly $379,097) | Space Colony Studios | |
 | Stellar Code | $24.98 | 448 97% | 13k | $336k (exactly $335,731) | Fragaria | |
 | Dead in Antares | $19.99 | 189 77% | 5.7k | $113k (exactly $113,343) | Ishtar Games | |
 | Dead Reckoning: The Long Drift | · EA | $14.99 | 174 83% | 5.2k | $78k (exactly $78,248) | Garan Lorn |
 | STARBITES | $49.99 | 42 64% | 1.3k | $63k (exactly $62,987) | IKINAGAMES | |
 | Stellar Dream - Part 1 | $14.99 | 129 87% | 3.9k | $58k (exactly $58,011) | Winterlook Games | |
 | Takara Cards | $14.99 | 112 83% | 3.4k | $50k (exactly $50,366) | Post Mortem Pixels | |
 | SEXSTELLAR | $9.99 | 151 67% | 4.5k | $45k (exactly $45,255) | Carnality INC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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