Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Science

Of 22 developers who shipped a Science Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×6.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $53k, ×113 the market median. Revenue is up 175% on the market; 30 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 175% on the market, 30 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $2.5k → $32k → $150 → $22k → $3.8k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $420 (exactly $420)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,936)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,942)
Top 5% $54k (exactly $53,514)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 62
Announced 30
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 175% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Dating Sim
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Cute, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 966 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $53k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- older $9.99 7,777 95% 233k $2.3M (exactly $2,330,767) Modern Visual Arts Laboratory, SEO INSE… (Modern Visual Arts Laboratory, SEO INSEOK)
Cyanotype Daydream -The Girl Who Dreamed the World- older $39.99 710 88% 21k $852k (exactly $851,787) Laplacian
Haven Moon older $11.99 646 77% 19k $232k (exactly $232,366) Francois Roussel
SCP Strategy older $6.99 556 78% 17k $117k (exactly $116,593) LUXO Interactive
My Furry Protogen 2 🐾 older $4.99 468 96% 14k $70k (exactly $70,060) Dirty Fox Games
SEX Hospital 💦 $9.99 189 69% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,643) Lust Desires 🖤
Orgasm Lab Simulator 💦🍌 $14.99 119 69% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,514) BanzaiProject
Doki Doki AI Interrogation older $3.49 485 81% 15k $51k (exactly $50,780) YAMADA
ASTROBOTANICA · EA $19.99 76 59% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Space Goblin Studio
My Furry Protogen 3 🐾 $4.99 221 95% 6.6k $33k (exactly $33,084) Dirty Fox Games
My Protogen Engineer ⚙️ $4.99 213 97% 6.4k $32k (exactly $31,886) Dirty Fox Games
Meco Rocket Simulator · EA $49.69 15 80% 450 $22k (exactly $22,360) Loren Aerospace
TELLURICENE $11.99 61 100% 1.8k $22k (exactly $21,942) DEADline Studios
The Libido Enigma $12.99 46 84% 1.4k $18k (exactly $17,926) broiler_x
Dilemma $5.99 21 95% 630 $3.8k (exactly $3,774) DrAxelStudio
Macht: Cosmic Engine · EA $24.99 5 80% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Kestro Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.