Do I ship it?

Games › Choose Your Own Adventure › Choose Your Own Adventure + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Robots

Of 29 developers who shipped a Robot Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×350 the market median. Revenue is up 275% on the market; 36 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 275% on the market, 36 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $3.7k → $7.8k → $52k → $1.5k → $3.1k → $2.5k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,132)
Top 5% $220k (exactly $219,527)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 68
Announced 36
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 275% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, Dating Sim
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,089 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- 2016 · $2.3M Caravan SandWitch 2024 · $2.1M Projekt: Passion - Season 1 2023 · $1.3M Choice of Robots 2014 · $397k Sexbot 2024 · $325k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- older $9.99 7,777 95% 233k $2.3M (exactly $2,330,767) Modern Visual Arts Laboratory, SEO INSE… (Modern Visual Arts Laboratory, SEO INSEOK)
Caravan SandWitch older $24.99 2,797 88% 84k $2.1M (exactly $2,096,911) Studio Plane Toast
Projekt: Passion - Season 1 older $11.99 3,501 92% 105k $1.3M (exactly $1,259,310) Classy Lemon
Choice of Robots older $6.99 1,893 96% 57k $397k (exactly $396,962) Choice of Games
Sexbot $14.99 723 86% 22k $325k (exactly $325,133) Llamamann Games
ACTION SANDBOX older $9.99 787 73% 24k $236k (exactly $235,864) Vona Soft
Mining Mechs older $2.99 2,577 89% 77k $231k (exactly $231,157) Delayed Victory
Reach $29.99 244 66% 7.3k $220k (exactly $219,527) nDreams Elevation
Robot girl's dream -RobotBattleChampionship- $16.99 196 95% 5.9k $100k (exactly $99,901) DeskClub Games
BatteryNote $11.99 203 98% 6.1k $73k (exactly $73,019) 72studio
STARBITES $49.99 42 64% 1.3k $63k (exactly $62,987) IKINAGAMES
Train and Tame $9.99 184 65% 5.5k $55k (exactly $55,145) Tames Games
My Furry Protogen 3 🐾 $4.99 221 95% 6.6k $33k (exactly $33,084) Dirty Fox Games
My Protogen Engineer ⚙️ $4.99 213 97% 6.4k $32k (exactly $31,886) Dirty Fox Games
Sex Machina 2 $12.99 26 100% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) MAGNA GAMES
Sex Machina $8.99 37 83% 1.1k $10k (exactly $9,979) MAGNA GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.