Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Choose Your Own Adventure

Of 21 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $5.9k, ×9.5 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 34 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.5k → $228 → $4.6k → $1.5k → $3.2k → $210 → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $3.2k (exactly $3,238)
Top 5% $6.0k (exactly $5,988)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 77
Announced 34
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics, Choose Your Own Adventure; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, Adventure
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 766 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $5.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. Nearly all of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2 older $19.99 7,206 84% 216k $4.3M (exactly $4,321,438) Brilliant Game Studios
Abandon Ship older $24.99 1,151 71% 35k $863k (exactly $862,905) Fireblade Software
Guidus Zero $14.99 609 75% 18k $274k (exactly $273,867) izzle
Control Craft 3 older $4.99 235 73% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,180) Cristian Manolachi, Atomic Fabrik
Magic Trap older $49.99 23 86% 690 $34k (exactly $34,493) Gamesforgames
The Age of Navigation older $5.99 164 57% 4.9k $29k (exactly $29,471) Upstream Games
Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel older $14.99 42 80% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Innomen Team
Spaceship Driver License older $49.99 11 100% 330 $16k (exactly $16,497) Gamesforgames
Falco Totem Destroyer older $49.99 10 100% 300 $15k (exactly $14,997) Gamesforgames
DOUGH: A Crime Strategy RPG · EA older $14.99 32 71% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) OMNIA
The Great Axe $19.99 13 84% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Gamesforgames
Gold Defence $9.99 20 65% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Gamesforgames
Only Out $4.99 40 95% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Shark Studio
Bastionforge $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
PipeFlow $9.99 16 75% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Sharkgame
Summoner's Automata $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Happy Piggy 2 $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Ballardo: Roguelike Billiards · EA $8.99 13 53% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Nue Games
Maniac Path 4 $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Gamesforgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.