Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Puzzle game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Puzzle

Of 299 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 455 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×12 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×1134 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 455 games are announced against 172 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.1 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 455 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 299
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $1.8k → $4.0k → $2.7k → $980 → $3.1k → $1.4k (still earning) → $330 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 299
Bottom 30% $418 (exactly $418)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,394)
Top 5% $135k (exactly $134,932)
Developers, 2 yr 299
Released games 839
Announced 455
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure, Puzzle; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 15,039 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 170 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 455 games are announced against 172 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
House Party older $24.99 13,968 85% 419k $10M (exactly $10,471,810) Eek! Games, LLC
Word Game older $34.99 5,930 93% 178k $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) Team9
The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles older $39.99 5,113 93% 153k $6.1M (exactly $6,134,066) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy older $49.99 3,261 88% 98k $4.9M (exactly $4,890,522) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Ace Attorney Investigations Collection older $39.99 3,401 96% 102k $4.1M (exactly $4,080,180) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Sable older $24.99 5,365 86% 161k $4.0M (exactly $4,022,140) Shedworks
Storyteller older $14.99 8,169 88% 245k $3.7M (exactly $3,673,599) Daniel Benmergui
The Operator older $13.99 8,515 91% 255k $3.6M (exactly $3,573,746) Bureau 81
Minds Beneath Us older $19.99 5,749 96% 172k $3.4M (exactly $3,447,675) BearBoneStudio
THE LONGING older $14.99 6,977 92% 209k $3.1M (exactly $3,137,557) Studio Seufz
Beholder: Conductor $13.99 4,532 91% 136k $1.9M (exactly $1,902,080) Alawar
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed $39.99 1,275 93% 38k $1.5M (exactly $1,529,618) Purple Lamp
Kindergarten 3 $19.99 1,774 94% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,063,868) Con Man Games, Sean Young
AI2U: With You 'Til The End $14.99 2,073 87% 62k $932k (exactly $932,228) AlterStaff Inc.
Staffer Retro : A Supernatural Mystery Quest $24.99 922 89% 28k $691k (exactly $691,223) Team Tetrapod
Amanda the Adventurer 2 $9.99 1,436 83% 43k $430k (exactly $430,369) MANGLEDmaw Games
MILFs of Sunville - Season 2 $9.99 1,281 88% 38k $384k (exactly $383,916) L7team
消失的航班,还有她她她!Lost in the secret! $19.99 602 89% 18k $361k (exactly $361,019) Humongous Pictures
Confidential Killings - A Detective Game $14.99 716 76% 21k $322k (exactly $321,985) BRANE, Lorenzo Boni
Detective Sherlock: Shadow Stalker · EA $19.99 428 88% 13k $257k (exactly $256,672) Gamercury

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.