Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Psychological

Of 162 developers who shipped a Psychological Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 346 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×635 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 346 games are announced against 102 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 346 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 162
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $2.1k → $4.8k → $3.2k → $3.4k → $6.0k → $898 (still earning) → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 162
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,525)
Top 25% $9.3k (exactly $9,291)
Top 5% $302k (exactly $301,798)
Developers, 2 yr 162
Released games 445
Announced 346
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, Multiple Endings
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 78,983 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $9.2k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 87 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 346 games are announced against 102 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD older $15.99 54,053 94% 1.6M $26M (exactly $25,929,224) WSS playground, xemono
Revenge on gold diggers $6.99 46,610 80% 1.4M $9.8M (exactly $9,774,117) 前方工作室
Minds Beneath Us older $19.99 5,749 96% 172k $3.4M (exactly $3,447,675) BearBoneStudio
BURIED STARS older $39.99 2,117 83% 64k $2.5M (exactly $2,539,765) LINE Games Corporation
Your Turn To Die -Death Game By Majority- · EA older $16.99 4,122 97% 124k $2.1M (exactly $2,100,983) Nankidai
Class of '09: The Re-Up older $14.99 4,496 97% 135k $2.0M (exactly $2,021,851) SBN3
Amanda the Adventurer older $8.99 5,931 94% 178k $1.6M (exactly $1,599,591) MANGLEDmaw Games
G.O.P.O.T.A older $29.99 1,493 81% 45k $1.3M (exactly $1,343,252) VD Games, PropilGames
The NOexistenceN of you AND me $1.99 20,139 93% 604k $1.2M (exactly $1,202,298) 0x0Real Studio
The Test older $1.99 19,599 96% 588k $1.2M (exactly $1,170,060) Randumb Studios
Rue Valley $14.99 1,905 69% 57k $857k (exactly $856,678) Emotion Spark Studio
极速营救 $9.99 1,860 86% 56k $557k (exactly $557,442) 优映文化, 想象颗粒
and Roger $4.99 2,703 95% 81k $405k (exactly $404,639) TearyHand Studio
我打不过漂亮的她们 $10.99 1,111 95% 33k $366k (exactly $366,297) 想象颗粒
While We Wait Here $4.99 2,344 89% 70k $351k (exactly $350,897) Bad Vices Games
Mojika - Truth Rears Its Ugly Head $24.99 413 77% 12k $310k (exactly $309,626) NITRO ORIGIN
Soul Touch $9.99 1,007 97% 30k $302k (exactly $301,798) URAYAHA.TECH
I Hate My Waifu Streamer $9.99 891 92% 27k $267k (exactly $267,033) Nozori Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.