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Should I ship a Nature Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Choose Your Own Adventure + Nature
Of 78 developers who shipped a Nature Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 169 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $54k, ×115 the market median. Revenue is up 115% on the market; 169 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $178 (exactly $178) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $3.9k (exactly $3,892) |
| Top 5% | $54k (exactly $54,414) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 78 |
| Released games | 236 |
| Announced | 169 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
- Nature
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Choose Your Own Adventure; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Choices Matter
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Relaxing, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,414 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 50 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 169 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + FMVFair
- + FlightFair
- + SportsFair
- + Word GameFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + 3D FighterLong shot
- + NavalPoor odds
Comparable games
Pine 2019 · $1.1M 
The Oregon Trail 2022 · $1.1M 
Big Farm Story 2021 · $703k 
Tides of Tomorrow 🌊 2026 · $469k 
Camp Buddy: Scoutmaster Season 2022 · $425k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Pine | older | $24.99 | 1,504 73% | 45k | $1.1M (exactly $1,127,549) | Twirlbound |
| | The Oregon Trail | older | $29.99 | 1,220 79% | 37k | $1.1M (exactly $1,097,634) | Gameloft |
| | Big Farm Story | older | $19.99 | 1,172 78% | 35k | $703k (exactly $702,848) | Goodgame Studios |
| | Tides of Tomorrow 🌊 | $29.99 | 521 86% | 16k | $469k (exactly $468,744) | Digixart | |
| | Camp Buddy: Scoutmaster Season | older | $39.99 | 354 94% | 11k | $425k (exactly $424,694) | BLits Games |
 | Kona II: Brume | older | $29.99 | 433 80% | 13k | $390k (exactly $389,570) | Parabole |
 | Paradise | older | $19.99 | 561 90% | 17k | $336k (exactly $336,432) | PIL/SLASH |
 | Paper Beast | older | $19.99 | 529 94% | 16k | $317k (exactly $317,241) | Pixel Reef |
 | Sisters: Last Day of Summer | older | $24.99 | 408 84% | 12k | $306k (exactly $305,878) | Jellyfish |
 | Aka | older | $12.99 | 575 74% | 17k | $224k (exactly $224,078) | Cosmo Gatto |
 | Two Falls (Nishu Takuatshina) | $19.99 | 151 90% | 4.5k | $91k (exactly $90,555) | Unreliable Narrators | |
 | Island Market Simulator | $12.99 | 171 76% | 5.1k | $67k (exactly $66,639) | Zentium Studio | |
 | Horny: Zero Moan 🔞🦕 | $14.99 | 121 69% | 3.6k | $54k (exactly $54,414) | Lewd Star | |
 | ASTROBOTANICA | · EA | $19.99 | 76 59% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $45,577) | Space Goblin Studio |
 | MILF's Camp🔥 | $9.99 | 121 76% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $36,264) | Play and Cum 💦 | |
 | HARMONIC REFLECTIONS | $14.99 | 80 93% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $35,976) | Laplacian | |
 | Paradise: Musubi | $14.99 | 73 98% | 2.2k | $33k (exactly $32,828) | PIL/SLASH | |
 | Primal Hearts | $24.99 | 38 89% | 1.1k | $28k (exactly $28,489) | Marmalade | |
 | Bigfoot Life | $12.99 | 62 75% | 1.9k | $24k (exactly $24,161) | Planet 47 Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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