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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Choose Your Own Adventure
Of 27 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 19 developers shipped in the last year and 40 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $358 (exactly $358) |
| Top 25% | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
| Top 5% | $58k (exactly $58,461) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 27 |
| Released games | 77 |
| Announced | 40 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon, Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, RPG
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 2D, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 72% positive over 920 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Reventure | older | $12.34 | 8,451 95% | 254k | $3.1M (exactly $3,128,560) | Pixelatto |
| | Guidus Zero | $14.99 | 609 75% | 18k | $274k (exactly $273,867) | izzle | |
| | Dynamic Dungeons Editor | older | $29.99 | 158 60% | 4.7k | $142k (exactly $142,153) | Dynamic Dungeons |
| | Baldo: The Guardian Owls | older | $19.99 | 185 65% | 5.6k | $111k (exactly $110,944) | Naps Team |
| | Dracula: Love Kills | older | $9.99 | 298 80% | 8.9k | $89k (exactly $89,311) | Waterlily Games |
| | PuPu's Adventure Park | $14.99 | 130 64% | 3.9k | $58k (exactly $58,461) | 西梅树工作室 | |
| | Slave Princess Finne, why did she sell out her own kingdom? | older | $17.99 | 82 87% | 2.5k | $44k (exactly $44,255) | Circle Fairy Flower |
| | Choose Wisely | older | $9.99 | 117 72% | 3.5k | $35k (exactly $35,065) | ID Card |
| | Rescue Operation | older | $3.99 | 253 87% | 7.6k | $30k (exactly $30,284) | Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich |
| | ACCIDENTALLY | $12.99 | 30 60% | 900 | $12k (exactly $11,691) | M&K WORKS | |
| | Damsels in Distress | $8.99 | 36 83% | 1.1k | $9.7k (exactly $9,709) | Anime Mania | |
| | Digging the Forgotten Cave | $4.99 | 54 75% | 1.6k | $8.1k (exactly $8,084) | Cavernauts | |
| | When We Arrive | $9.99 | 22 81% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | Two Pixels UG | |
| | Dead Silence - Echoes of the Damned | $4.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Persian Dare | |
| | Questboard | $5.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $1.6k (exactly $1,617) | Binary Cabin | |
| | DEEPLY | · EA | $2.99 | 14 35% | 420 | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) | TWEN |
| | 虚妄之言 Hollow Life And INsincere Words | $8.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | 暴躁猫工作室 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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