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Should I ship an Incremental Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Choose Your Own Adventure + Incremental
Of 89 developers who shipped an Incremental Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×6.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $44k, ×376 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 65 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $298 (exactly $298) |
|---|---|
| Median | $718 (exactly $718) |
| Top 25% | $3.8k (exactly $3,838) |
| Top 5% | $45k (exactly $44,768) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 89 |
| Released games | 212 |
| Announced | 65 |
| Effort | 2 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
What it takes
- Effort
- 2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
- Systems
- Choose Your Own Adventure, Incremental; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, Simulation
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 5,367 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 49 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 49 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Choose Your Own Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + FMVFair
- + FlightFair
- + SportsFair
- + Word GameFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + 3D FighterLong shot
- + NavalPoor odds
Comparable games
Love Curse: Find Your Soulmate 2025 · $1.4M 
Midnight Paradise 2024 · $355k 
Polda 7 2022 · $268k 
Furry Love 2020 · $134k 
Earth Must Die 2026 · $114k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Love Curse: Find Your Soulmate | $14.00 | 3,275 95% | 98k | $1.4M (exactly $1,375,500) | Xso | |
| | Midnight Paradise | $17.99 | 658 88% | 20k | $355k (exactly $355,123) | Lewdlab | |
| | Polda 7 | older | $17.99 | 496 92% | 15k | $268k (exactly $267,691) | Zima software |
| | Furry Love | older | $0.99 | 4,504 87% | 135k | $134k (exactly $133,769) | Red Six Development |
| | Earth Must Die | $15.99 | 238 85% | 7.1k | $114k (exactly $114,169) | Size Five Games | |
 | FEED THE AI | $5.99 | 557 90% | 17k | $100k (exactly $100,093) | Weird Kid Games | |
 | OnlyFap Simulator 4 💦 | older | $6.99 | 398 59% | 12k | $83k (exactly $83,461) | BanzaiProject |
 | OnlyFap Simulator 2 💦 | older | $6.99 | 367 60% | 11k | $77k (exactly $76,960) | BanzaiProject |
 | Taimanin Asagi | older | $14.99 | 161 84% | 4.8k | $72k (exactly $72,402) | Lilith |
 | Detective Hayseed - The Cloning Madness | older | $14.99 | 147 97% | 4.4k | $66k (exactly $66,106) | Zima software |
 | Egg Squeeze | $3.99 | 374 98% | 11k | $45k (exactly $44,768) | MATTER GAMES | |
 | Voyeur Villa - Harem Manager | $19.99 | 44 75% | 1.3k | $26k (exactly $26,387) | Sexy Hentai Games Factory | |
 | LAST HAREM | $16.99 | 49 57% | 1.5k | $25k (exactly $24,975) | Kokudo Studio | |
 | Liminal Border Part III | $14.99 | 53 64% | 1.6k | $24k (exactly $23,834) | Purple Software | |
 | Betrayed | $14.99 | 45 82% | 1.4k | $20k (exactly $20,236) | Joraell, Darkmage, Dracula Belmont | |
 | Monster Girls Onsen | $7.99 | 74 85% | 2.2k | $18k (exactly $17,738) | Dreamers Workshop |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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