Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Hacking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Hacking Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Hacking

Only 11 developers shipped a Hacking Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FEED THE AI, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×211 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 24 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Hacking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Hacking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $31,487)
Top 5% $100k (exactly $100,093)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 31
Announced 24
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Hacking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 933 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $720, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Watch Dogs®: Legion older $59.99 11,891 56% 357k $21M (exactly $21,400,233) Ubisoft Toronto
MINDHACK · EA older $12.99 712 93% 21k $277k (exactly $277,466) VODKAdemo?
Polda 7 older $17.99 496 92% 15k $268k (exactly $267,691) Zima software
Yolo Space Hacker older $24.99 208 95% 6.2k $156k (exactly $155,938) BKNLab
FEED THE AI $5.99 557 90% 17k $100k (exactly $100,093) Weird Kid Games
Hacked: The Streamer $8.49 268 73% 8.0k $68k (exactly $68,260) Button Interactive, NAISU
Web Host Simulator · EA $24.99 42 26% 1.3k $31k (exactly $31,487) Chibum
Chaos Chain · EA older $14.99 68 92% 2.0k $31k (exactly $30,580) Corrosive Studios LLC
Hello Stranger $9.99 31 80% 930 $9.3k (exactly $9,291) PRM Games
Internet Court older $6.99 33 78% 990 $6.9k (exactly $6,920) Oh, a Rock! Studios
FutaPunk 🌚 $5.99 22 90% 660 $4.0k (exactly $3,953) TheBigO Games
Autumn with the Shiba Inu $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Quill Game Studios
NETBREAK $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Splice
> Terminal $5.00 3 100% 90 $450 (exactly $450) Terminal CLS LLC
Zly.ii: The Hacked Station $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Simon Says: Play!
THE LAST LOGIN $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) IS-TL

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.