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Should I ship a Gothic Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Choose Your Own Adventure + Gothic
Of 29 developers who shipped a Gothic Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×6.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $26M, ×56575 the market median. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 50 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $270 (exactly $270) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $3,045) |
| Top 25% | $15k (exactly $14,685) |
| Top 5% | $27M (exactly $26,873,139) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 29 |
| Released games | 89 |
| Announced | 50 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
- Gothic
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 57,993 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + FMVFair
- + FlightFair
- + SportsFair
- + Word GameFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + 3D FighterLong shot
- + NavalPoor odds
Comparable games
Gothic 1 Remake 2026 · $39M 
Magical Girl Witch Trials 2025 · $27M 
Schrödinger's Call 2026 · $607k 
Vampire Therapist 2024 · $411k 
Lamplight City 2018 · $361k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Gothic 1 Remake | $49.99 | 26,258 88% | 788k | $39M (exactly $39,379,123) | Alkimia Interactive | |
| | Magical Girl Witch Trials | $29.99 | 29,869 96% | 896k | $27M (exactly $26,873,139) | Acacia, Re,AER | |
| | Schrödinger's Call | $17.99 | 1,124 94% | 34k | $607k (exactly $606,623) | Acrobatic Chirimenjako | |
| | Vampire Therapist | older | $14.99 | 915 93% | 27k | $411k (exactly $411,476) | Little Bat Games |
| | Lamplight City | older | $14.99 | 802 89% | 24k | $361k (exactly $360,659) | Grundislav Games |
 | Gloomy Eyes | $24.99 | 155 94% | 4.7k | $116k (exactly $116,204) | Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fi… (Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fishing Cactus, ARTE France) | |
 | Dracula: Love Kills | older | $9.99 | 298 80% | 8.9k | $89k (exactly $89,311) | Waterlily Games |
 | Naudrion: Fall of The Empire | · EA older | $19.99 | 97 67% | 2.9k | $58k (exactly $58,171) | Aleksey Skvortsov |
 | 5omeday | $5.99 | 319 88% | 9.6k | $57k (exactly $57,324) | Indigo Ingots, Starlit Chronicles Studio | |
 | First Bite | older | $9.99 | 149 84% | 4.5k | $45k (exactly $44,655) | First Bite Games |
 | The Last Winter Knight | $14.99 | 78 98% | 2.3k | $35k (exactly $35,077) | ENDYSIS | |
 | 49 Keys | $9.99 | 76 77% | 2.3k | $23k (exactly $22,777) | Michele Buonanno, Veronica Wu, Fabio Po… (Michele Buonanno, Veronica Wu, Fabio Porfidia) | |
 | RUNT | $9.99 | 49 79% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $14,685) | Grimtaste Studios | |
 | Livber: Smoke and Mirrors | $9.99 | 41 87% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $12,288) | InEv Games | |
 | DEVIL'S LIMINAL | $13.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $10k (exactly $10,073) | Studio Interlude |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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