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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Farming Sim?
Farming Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure
Of 23 developers who shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×495 the market median. Revenue is up 455% on the market; 57 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,166) |
| Top 25% | $35k (exactly $35,439) |
| Top 5% | $235k (exactly $234,989) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 23 |
| Released games | 67 |
| Announced | 57 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 455% on the market, supply 185% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Farming Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Farming Sim, Choose Your Own Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Life Sim, Agriculture
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,480 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Farming Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + DogsFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + TacticalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Visual NovelLong shot
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + HorsesPoor odds
Comparable games
Disney Dreamlight Valley 2023 · $26M 
Out of Ore 2022 · $3.0M 
Song Of The Prairie 2024 · $777k 
Big Farm Story 2021 · $703k 
Harvest Moon: The Winds of Anthos 2023 · $555k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Disney Dreamlight Valley | older | $39.99 | 22,027 92% | 661k | $26M (exactly $26,425,792) | Gameloft |
| | Out of Ore | older | $24.99 | 3,978 85% | 119k | $3.0M (exactly $2,982,307) | North Modding Company AB |
| | Song Of The Prairie | older | $19.99 | 1,295 77% | 39k | $777k (exactly $776,611) | The Droplet Studio |
| | Big Farm Story | older | $19.99 | 1,172 78% | 35k | $703k (exactly $702,848) | Goodgame Studios |
| | Harvest Moon: The Winds of Anthos | older | $49.99 | 370 73% | 11k | $555k (exactly $554,889) | Appci Inc., Natsume Inc. |
 | To Pixelia | $14.99 | 1,194 73% | 36k | $537k (exactly $536,942) | Pixeduo Studios | |
 | Spirit of the Island | older | $14.99 | 1,191 69% | 36k | $536k (exactly $535,593) | 1M Bits Horde |
 | The Witch of Fern Island | older | $24.99 | 700 69% | 21k | $525k (exactly $524,790) | Enjoy Studio S.A. |
 | Slow living with Princess | older | $19.99 | 580 87% | 17k | $348k (exactly $347,826) | KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE. |
 | Mamon King | $12.99 | 603 90% | 18k | $235k (exactly $234,989) | LiTMUS Co., Ltd. | |
 | Island Market Simulator | $12.99 | 171 76% | 5.1k | $67k (exactly $66,639) | Zentium Studio | |
 | Pawsome Resort | · EA | $11.99 | 147 83% | 4.4k | $53k (exactly $52,876) | Pixel Puffs |
 | ASTROBOTANICA | · EA | $19.99 | 76 59% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $45,577) | Space Goblin Studio |
 | Eggstreme Farming | $6.99 | 169 73% | 5.1k | $35k (exactly $35,439) | Sagitta Studios | |
 | Life in red line | · EA | $17.99 | 26 76% | 780 | $14k (exactly $14,032) | Pecha games |
 | Cosmic Coop | $7.99 | 32 78% | 960 | $7.7k (exactly $7,670) | Omnivorian | |
 | Tap Derby: Horse Racing | $4.99 | 36 91% | 1.1k | $5.4k (exactly $5,389) | Frost Warrior Studios | |
 | Hatarake! - Working Hard! Even though I getting isekai'd! | $4.99 | 26 88% | 780 | $3.9k (exactly $3,892) | Ilumiansoft |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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