Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Faith

Only 14 developers shipped a Faith Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Marisa of Liartop Mountain, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×4.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×271 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 38 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 38 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $58k → $7.0k → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,635)
Top 5% $129k (exactly $128,614)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 45
Announced 38
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, RPG, Simulation
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 662 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tales from Toyotoki: Arrival of the Witch (The witch of the Ihanashi) older $24.98 874 95% 26k $655k (exactly $654,976) Fragaria
Working Sakuya older $6.99 768 96% 23k $161k (exactly $161,050) ぬるぬる坊主
The Bible older $4.99 965 87% 29k $144k (exactly $144,460) Bible Games
Marisa of Liartop Mountain $14.99 286 84% 8.6k $129k (exactly $128,614) Alliance Arts, UnknownX
Sisters in Sin 🔞 $14.99 165 75% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) Lewd Star
Of the Red, the Light, and the Ayakashi Tsuzuri older $59.99 32 96% 960 $58k (exactly $57,590) dramatic create
Re;quartz零度 older $34.99 35 82% 1.1k $37k (exactly $36,740) B-cluster
The Tales of Bayun older $6.99 164 74% 4.9k $34k (exactly $34,391) FlyinDogs
Reimu Needs Help!? Aunn-chan to the Rescue! older $6.99 157 96% 4.7k $33k (exactly $32,923) ISY
Kowloon High-School Chronicle older $19.99 51 90% 1.5k $31k (exactly $30,585) TOYBOX
Religion inc. $4.99 128 72% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,162) GameFirst
Cult Leader Simulator $17.99 16 50% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Nhneno
Luce Spenta $8.99 26 96% 780 $7.0k (exactly $7,012) MrFaabry
Funeral of Paradise - BL (Boys Love) $7.99 16 75% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) nonstopbl
Doctrine: C.U.L.T. $4.99 13 69% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Miracles on a Stick
Summer Reunion $12.99 3 100% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,169) オルトバミューダ
The Secret Of Greenwood Isle $10.99 2 100% 60 $659 (exactly $659) Sayne
KUZGUN $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) DAM Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.