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Should I ship a Dragon Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Choose Your Own Adventure + Dragons
Of 20 developers who shipped a Dragon Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×6.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $240M, ×384686 the market median. Revenue is up 710% on the market; 43 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) |
| Top 25% | $39k (exactly $39,124) |
| Top 5% | $242M (exactly $241,583,083) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 82 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 710% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
- Dragons
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Choose Your Own Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Exploration
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 117,979 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + FMVFair
- + FlightFair
- + SportsFair
- + Word GameFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + 3D FighterLong shot
- + NavalPoor odds
Comparable games
Crimson Desert Enhanced 2026 · $242M 
Word Game 2022 · $6.2M 
Storyteller 2023 · $3.7M 
Gedonia 2022 · $1.6M 
Knights College 2021 · $1.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Crimson Desert Enhanced | $69.99 | 115,056 83% | 3.5M | $242M (exactly $241,583,083) | Pearl Abyss | |
| | Word Game | older | $34.99 | 5,930 93% | 178k | $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) | Team9 |
| | Storyteller | older | $14.99 | 8,169 88% | 245k | $3.7M (exactly $3,673,599) | Daniel Benmergui |
| | Gedonia | older | $14.99 | 3,659 87% | 110k | $1.6M (exactly $1,645,452) | Kazakov Oleg |
| | Knights College | older | $24.99 | 2,088 96% | 63k | $1.6M (exactly $1,565,374) | KAIJYU-09 |
 | The Nameless: Slay Dragon | $17.99 | 2,050 91% | 62k | $1.1M (exactly $1,106,385) | The Nameless Epic | |
 | Golden Treasure: The Great Green | older | $19.99 | 909 95% | 27k | $545k (exactly $545,127) | Dreaming Door Studios |
 | Angels with Scaly Wings™ / 鱗羽の天使 | older | $9.99 | 1,533 96% | 46k | $459k (exactly $459,440) | Radical Phi |
 | Mamon King | $12.99 | 603 90% | 18k | $235k (exactly $234,989) | LiTMUS Co., Ltd. | |
 | Sex and the Furry Titty | older | $6.99 | 996 90% | 30k | $209k (exactly $208,861) | Furlough Games |
 | 文字遊戯(日本語版) | $34.99 | 74 90% | 2.2k | $78k (exactly $77,678) | Team9, ESQUADRA,inc. | |
 | Six Legends | $14.99 | 87 100% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $39,124) | Vincent Paquin | |
 | Specters of the Deep | $11.99 | 34 91% | 1.0k | $12k (exactly $12,230) | Choice of Games | |
 | Love the Guard, Be the King - A Visual Novel | $7.99 | 27 100% | 810 | $6.5k (exactly $6,472) | Ligia Nunes | |
 | Furry Necromancer 💀 | $4.99 | 34 94% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,090) | Dirty Fox Games | |
 | Daughters of the Dragon | · EA | $9.99 | 10 40% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Lewd Raccoon Games |
 | Ravager - Moon-Friendly Edition | · EA | $19.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | 4MinuteWarning |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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