Do I ship it?

GamesChoose Your Own AdventureChoose Your Own Adventure + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Choose Your Own Adventure + Cyberpunk

Of 55 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 105 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×159 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 105 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 105 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choose Your Own Adventure + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 55
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $27k → $5.0k → $7.5k → $7.2k → $14k → $1.9k → $1.9k (still earning) → $748 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choose Your Own Adventure + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 55
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,518)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,301)
Top 5% $100k (exactly $100,093)
Developers, 2 yr 55
Released games 154
Announced 105
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.40

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, Dating Sim
Price point
$8.40 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.40.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 3,453 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 7 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 105 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RhythmStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + FMVFair79 devs · median $54k · 74 announced
  3. + FlightFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  4. + SportsFair38 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Word GameFair55 devs · median $1.4k · 65 announced
  6. + MilitaryFair23 devs · median $898 · 24 announced
  7. + Score AttackFair14 devs · median $898 · 11 announced
  8. + IdlerFair41 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  9. + GamblingFair10 devs · median $494 · 14 announced
  10. + Local MultiplayerFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  11. + 3D FighterLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  12. + NavalPoor odds9 devs · median $14k · 16 announced

All 198 pairs on the Choose Your Own Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Watch Dogs®: Legion older $59.99 11,891 56% 357k $21M (exactly $21,400,233) Ubisoft Toronto
Minds Beneath Us older $19.99 5,749 96% 172k $3.4M (exactly $3,447,675) BearBoneStudio
Dreamfall Chapters older $24.99 3,213 82% 96k $2.4M (exactly $2,408,786) Red Thread Games
Projekt: Passion - Season 1 older $11.99 3,501 92% 105k $1.3M (exactly $1,259,310) Classy Lemon
Lacuna – A Sci-Fi Noir Adventure older $15.99 2,158 91% 65k $1.0M (exactly $1,035,193) DigiTales Interactive
Mind Scanners older $16.99 1,095 78% 33k $558k (exactly $558,122) The Outer Zone
City of Broken Dreamers: Book One older $9.99 1,589 91% 48k $476k (exactly $476,223) PhillyGames
Projekt: Passion - Season 2 $11.99 1,005 93% 30k $361k (exactly $361,498) Classy Lemon
The Divine Invasion older $14.99 690 79% 21k $310k (exactly $310,293) Whale Rock Games
反转21克 older $8.99 1,020 72% 31k $275k (exactly $275,094) 想象颗粒
Sex & Blood: Vampires $9.99 759 71% 23k $227k (exactly $227,472) Taboo Tales 💘
FEED THE AI $5.99 557 90% 17k $100k (exactly $100,093) Weird Kid Games
Futa Nights: Bloody Sluts 💋 $14.99 159 74% 4.8k $72k (exactly $71,502) Dirty Adventures 🖤
Techno Banter $17.99 113 91% 3.4k $61k (exactly $60,986) Dexai Arts, Crunching Koalas
SQUAD XXX: Slut Hunt 🚨 $14.99 133 76% 4.0k $60k (exactly $59,810) Lewd Star
STRAY GIRL 🔞 $9.99 179 79% 5.4k $54k (exactly $53,646) Carnality INC
SEXXX GIRLS [18+] $9.99 114 71% 3.4k $34k (exactly $34,166) Lust Desires 🖤
My Furry Protogen 3 🐾 $4.99 221 95% 6.6k $33k (exactly $33,084) Dirty Fox Games
My Protogen Engineer ⚙️ $4.99 213 97% 6.4k $32k (exactly $31,886) Dirty Fox Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.