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Should I ship a Cold-War Choose Your Own Adventure game?
Choose Your Own Adventure + Cold War
Only 8 developers shipped a Cold-War Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Heroines Through My Lens, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.0k, ×8.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×160 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $148 (exactly $148) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.0k (exactly $5,036) |
| Top 25% | $19k (exactly $18,591) |
| Top 5% | $101k (exactly $100,750) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
- Cold War
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,420 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choose Your Own Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RhythmStrong odds
- + FMVFair
- + FlightFair
- + SportsFair
- + Word GameFair
- + MilitaryFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + IdlerFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + 3D FighterLong shot
- + NavalPoor odds
Comparable games
Rule the Waves 3 2023 · $1.0M 
1979 Revolution: Black Friday 2016 · $306k 
Crisis in the Kremlin 2017 · $205k 
China: Mao's legacy 2019 · $205k 
Ostalgie: The Berlin Wall 2018 · $120k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Rule the Waves 3 | older | $39.99 | 855 87% | 26k | $1.0M (exactly $1,025,744) | Naval Warfare Simulations |
| | 1979 Revolution: Black Friday | older | $9.99 | 1,021 76% | 31k | $306k (exactly $305,994) | iNK Stories, N-Fusion Interactive |
| | Crisis in the Kremlin | older | $4.99 | 1,372 83% | 41k | $205k (exactly $205,388) | Nostalgames |
| | China: Mao's legacy | older | $6.99 | 978 90% | 29k | $205k (exactly $205,087) | Nostalgames |
| | Ostalgie: The Berlin Wall | older | $5.99 | 666 92% | 20k | $120k (exactly $119,680) | Nostalgames |
 | Heroines Through My Lens | $19.99 | 168 87% | 5.0k | $101k (exactly $100,750) | Storytaco | |
 | Orwell's Animal Farm | older | $9.99 | 150 75% | 4.5k | $45k (exactly $44,955) | Nerial |
 | Jey's Empire | older | $14.99 | 68 85% | 2.0k | $31k (exactly $30,580) | Maestro Cinetik |
 | Nobodies: After Death | older | $6.99 | 111 95% | 3.3k | $23k (exactly $23,277) | Blyts |
 | Missile Command Delta | $19.99 | 31 83% | 930 | $19k (exactly $18,591) | 13AM Games, Mighty Yell | |
 | Project Looking Glass | $4.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $7.0k (exactly $7,036) | MORPH | |
 | Femboy Streamer | $11.99 | 14 35% | 420 | $5.0k (exactly $5,036) | Pepperjak | |
 | Space is Red | $6.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) | Febrvvm | |
 | Bulletproof Tank Adventure | $0.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $148 (exactly $148) | HAPPYTECH | |
 | Nothing Remarkable Today | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Constanteer Interactive | |
 | Duty Guvnor | $8.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Articulable LLC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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