Do I ship it?

Games › Co-op Campaign › Co-op Campaign + Choices Matter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Co-op Campaign Choices Matter game?

Co-op Campaign + Choices Matter

Only 12 developers shipped a Co-op Campaign Choices Matter game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Solasta II, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.9k, ×3.3 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $3.5M, ×2347 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 27 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op Campaign + Choices Matter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $17k → $73k → $598 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Co-op Campaign + Choices Matter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $4.9k (exactly $4,947)
Top 25% $99k (exactly $98,934)
Top 5% $3.5M (exactly $3,516,321)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 29
Announced 27
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op Campaign
effort 8 / 10 · low · shared campaign state over the network
Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Co-op Campaign, Choices Matter
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 3,601 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $4.9k, 1 in 4 over $98k, 1 in 20 over $3.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 27 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op Campaign with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldPoor odds17 devs · median $267k · 65 announced
  2. + ZombiesPoor odds12 devs · median $27k · 22 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds18 devs · median $27k · 27 announced
  4. + SurvivalPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  5. + HorrorPoor odds31 devs · median $14k · 66 announced
  6. + Survival HorrorPoor odds19 devs · median $14k · 39 announced
  7. + ExplorationPoor odds54 devs · median $14k · 153 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 78 announced
  9. + Puzzle PlatformerPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds19 devs · median $6.6k · 29 announced
  11. + PlatformerPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds17 devs · median $6.2k · 34 announced

All 81 pairs on the Co-op Campaign page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Baldur's Gate 3 2023 · $1.4B Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017 · $244M Solasta: Crown of the Magister 2021 · $18M Solasta II 2026 · EA · $3.5M As Dusk Falls 2022 · $3.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Baldur's Gate 3 older $59.99 755,010 96% 23M $1.4B (exactly $1,358,791,497) Larian Studios
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition older $44.99 180,782 95% 5.4M $244M (exactly $244,001,465) Larian Studios
Solasta: Crown of the Magister older $29.99 19,680 87% 590k $18M (exactly $17,706,096) Tactical Adventures
Solasta II · EA $39.99 2,931 75% 88k $3.5M (exactly $3,516,321) Tactical Adventures
As Dusk Falls older $29.99 3,707 90% 111k $3.3M (exactly $3,335,188) INTERIOR/NIGHT
Cobra Kai: The Karate Kid Saga Continues older $19.99 417 84% 13k $250k (exactly $250,075) Flux Games
Expeditions: Samurai · EA $29.99 267 59% 8.0k $240k (exactly $240,220) Campfire Cabal
Worlds of Aria $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Ludogram
Baladins older $24.99 121 81% 3.6k $91k (exactly $90,714) Seed by Seed
Keep Keepers $17.99 135 87% 4.1k $73k (exactly $72,860) Thunderrock Innovations
IAH: INTERNET WAR $19.99 23 26% 690 $14k (exactly $13,793) Vitali Kirpu Productions
Into the M.A.W. $14.99 11 100% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Moonrise Studios
The Anomaly Department $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Buder Games
Paddlenoid $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Deadbug Projects
Fun Road $2.99 5 60% 150 $449 (exactly $449) RMIT
My Toxic Darling $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 1tempobro

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.