Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-BasedTurn-Based + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Turn-Based game?

Turn-Based + Cats

Only 7 developers shipped a Cat Turn-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Epic Auto Towers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 3 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.7k against a market of $630. 3 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 3 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $243k → $538 → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Top 25% $46k (exactly $46,344)
Top 5% $345k (exactly $345,370)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 25
Announced 3
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 10,463 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.6k, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.6k. 3 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Asynchronous MultiplayerStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + DragonsStrong odds7 devs · median $53k · 7 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashStrong odds8 devs · median $14k · 1 announced
  4. + SandboxFair20 devs · median $224k · 19 announced
  5. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $32k · 18 announced
  6. + CraftingFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $10k · 57 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  10. + ChessFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  11. + Tower DefensePoor odds9 devs · median $294k · 7 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds16 devs · median $193k · 26 announced

All 110 pairs on the Turn-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Epic Battle Fantasy 5 older $24.99 5,647 98% 169k $4.2M (exactly $4,233,556) Matt Roszak
Epic Battle Fantasy 4 older $14.99 2,802 98% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,260,059) Matt Roszak
SaGa Emerald Beyond older $49.99 308 72% 9.2k $462k (exactly $461,908) Square Enix
Epic Auto Towers · EA $14.99 768 70% 23k $345k (exactly $345,370) Aleksandr Golovkin
Quilts and Cats of Calico older $19.99 405 93% 12k $243k (exactly $242,878) Monster Couch
LOOTPLOT $6.99 221 94% 6.6k $46k (exactly $46,344) CodeTheory Ltd
Space Cats Tactics older $14.99 100 74% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,970) Mitzi Games, Alex Nicola
My Holiday 2 older $9.99 106 94% 3.2k $32k (exactly $31,768) StellarXiela
Kaiju Big Battel: Fighto Fantasy older $9.99 57 100% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) Super Walrus Games
Tower Song older $9.99 49 93% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,685) OI Games
Pawful Dice $14.99 8 100% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Anomalie Studio
Just a Little Purr suit $3.99 14 85% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Wise Box Studios
Lost in Cheese $12.99 4 100% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) SnøVittra
Bobo in Hell $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Arcana Rebels
Puzzle Cottage $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Adib Boutros

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.