Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Stealth game?

Stealth + Cats

Of 21 developers who shipped a Cat Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $330k, ×526 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 50 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 50 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $267 → $2.7k → $898 → $4.2k → $6.8k (still earning) → $480 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 25% $6.8k (exactly $6,750)
Top 5% $330k (exactly $330,113)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 62
Announced 50
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Dark, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,956 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 6 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stray older $29.99 157,579 97% 4.7M $142M (exactly $141,773,826) BlueTwelve Studio
Timelie older $17.99 1,783 95% 53k $962k (exactly $962,285) Urnique Studio
Kristala $39.99 485 71% 15k $582k (exactly $581,854) Astral Clocktower Studios
ORDER 13 $8.99 1,224 87% 37k $330k (exactly $330,113) Cybernetic Walrus
Before The Night older $13.99 456 94% 14k $191k (exactly $191,383) Uneducated Game Studio
JUSTICE SUCKS: Tactical Vacuum Action older $19.99 199 95% 6.0k $119k (exactly $119,340) Samurai Punk
Homestead Arcana older $19.99 98 66% 2.9k $59k (exactly $58,771) Serenity Forge
The Chronicles of Nyanya older $19.99 79 92% 2.4k $47k (exactly $47,376) hamstercube
Hello From Darkness · EA older $9.99 116 78% 3.5k $35k (exactly $34,765) CaTaTo
LIGHT: Black Cat & Amnesia Girl older $10.99 66 83% 2.0k $22k (exactly $21,760) Daylight Studio
Still It Runs $9.99 70 48% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,979) NAYUG, KADOKAWA
KIYO - Bunny Tyranny $14.99 23 100% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Pixel Rats
Paws Coven $6.99 43 67% 1.3k $9.0k (exactly $9,017) Wintercrow Games
I Hear Them $6.25 36 86% 1.1k $6.8k (exactly $6,750) Strange Presence
Virago World $9.99 14 71% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Honest Chronicle
100 Cats Lost In World Find & Color $4.99 28 96% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) Two Cats Games
Meowmories $5.99 15 60% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) Team Memolink
Cat Nips $4.99 18 94% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) firminou

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.