Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat PvP game?

PvP + Cats

Of 39 developers who shipped a Cat PvP game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×98 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 65 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 65 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $3.3k → $1.3k → $2.2k → $2.4k (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,838)
Top 5% $147k (exactly $147,052)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 98
Announced 65
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Strategy, Co-op
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Family Friendly, Cute, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,104 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nickelodeon All-Star Brawl older $49.99 4,311 75% 129k $6.5M (exactly $6,465,207) Ludosity, Fair Play Labs
Garfield Kart - Furious Racing older $14.99 10,475 88% 314k $4.7M (exactly $4,710,608) Artefacts Studio
Nickelodeon All-Star Brawl 2 older $49.99 1,013 81% 30k $1.5M (exactly $1,519,196) Fair Play Labs
Everdell older $19.99 577 90% 17k $346k (exactly $346,027) Dire Wolf
Quilts and Cats of Calico older $19.99 405 93% 12k $243k (exactly $242,878) Monster Couch
Exploding Kittens® 2 older $12.49 447 75% 13k $167k (exactly $167,491) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Garfield Kart 2 - All You Can Drift $24.99 216 45% 6.5k $162k (exactly $161,935) Eden Games
Batomon Showdown $14.99 327 87% 9.8k $147k (exactly $147,052) berrymint
Wand Wars older $11.99 183 96% 5.5k $66k (exactly $65,825) Moonradish Inc.
NiuMa $5.99 263 91% 7.9k $47k (exactly $47,261) Game Star
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
Claws & Chaos $5.99 95 60% 2.9k $17k (exactly $17,072) Parhelion Studio
The Isle of Cats $14.99 31 83% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Dire Wolf
King of Tokyo - Richard Garfield $19.99 16 68% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Breakfirst
Paws Coven $6.99 43 67% 1.3k $9.0k (exactly $9,017) Wintercrow Games
Skollorn $6.99 34 94% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) Fenris Labs
Cats go! : Tactical Defense Braw $4.99 39 97% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Minimum Studio Corp.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.