Do I ship it?

GamesFarming SimFarming Sim + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Farming Sim?

Farming Sim + Cats

Of 32 developers who shipped a Cat Farming Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×8.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×298 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 48 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 48 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Farming Sim + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59k → $14k → $1.9k → $114k → $899 → $4.2k → $9.7k (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Farming Sim + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,181)
Top 5% $142k (exactly $141,656)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 70
Announced 48
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Farming Sim; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Life Sim, Sandbox, Simulation
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,187 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $4.2k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 6 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Farming Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair19 devs · median $12k · 23 announced
  2. + DogsFair18 devs · median $4.1k · 20 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair140 devs · median $1.6k · 168 announced
  4. + IdlerFair208 devs · median $1.3k · 211 announced
  5. + TacticalFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair17 devs · median $718 · 16 announced
  7. + God GameLong shot22 devs · median $359 · 24 announced
  8. + Visual NovelLong shot11 devs · median $239 · 13 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds10 devs · median $146k · 16 announced
  10. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds11 devs · median $111k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  12. + HorsesPoor odds14 devs · median $70k · 20 announced

All 102 pairs on the Farming Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin older $29.99 5,004 92% 150k $4.5M (exactly $4,502,099) Edelweiss
Atomicrops older $14.99 5,134 93% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) Bird Bath Games
STORY OF SEASONS: Pioneers of Olive Town older $39.99 1,357 82% 41k $1.6M (exactly $1,627,993) Marvelous Inc.
STORY OF SEASONS: A Wonderful Life older $39.99 1,199 78% 36k $1.4M (exactly $1,438,440) Marvelous Inc.
Critter Cove · EA older $24.99 1,735 94% 52k $1.3M (exactly $1,300,730) Gentleman Rat Studios
Cattails | Become a Cat! older $14.99 2,315 95% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,041,056) Falcon Development
Cattails: Wildwood Story older $19.99 1,479 97% 44k $887k (exactly $886,956) Falcon Development
Snacko $24.99 888 95% 27k $666k (exactly $665,734) Bluecurse Studios
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Everdream Valley older $24.99 708 70% 21k $531k (exactly $530,788) Mooneaters
Cozy Keep: Farm, Craft, Manage · EA $14.99 315 93% 9.5k $142k (exactly $141,656) Unbossed Games
Catizens $17.77 214 81% 6.4k $114k (exactly $114,083) badopticsgames
Everdream Village · EA $19.99 107 69% 3.2k $64k (exactly $64,168) Mooneaters
Pawsome Resort · EA $11.99 147 83% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) Pixel Puffs
Fluffy Kitchen Saga $6.99 221 64% 6.6k $46k (exactly $46,344) MEOW STORE GAME
Cats Are Money $6.99 101 92% 3.0k $21k (exactly $21,180) DеM Games, Room Games
PurrPlate $9.99 64 68% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) LeankomGames
Mistpaw Ravine $15.99 36 94% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,269) Jon Nielsen
Familiar Findings $5.99 94 96% 2.8k $17k (exactly $16,892) Cliffa Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.