Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Card Game?

Card Game + Word Game

Of 23 developers who shipped a Word Game Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×14 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×2638 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 30 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 30 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $31k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $23,377)
Top 5% $314k (exactly $313,891)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 47
Announced 30
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Card Game, Word Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Choices Matter, Roguelike
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 7,202 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 7 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  10. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Retirement Simulator · EA older $13.99 3,757 34% 113k $1.6M (exactly $1,576,813) DoubleThink Studio
Matchmaking Inc. $8.99 5,773 87% 173k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,978) Wave Games
Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't $14.99 698 95% 21k $314k (exactly $313,891) Buried Things
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
RiffTrax: The Game older $9.99 219 91% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,634) Wide Right Interactive, Mark Zorn, Kurt… (Wide Right Interactive, Mark Zorn, Kurt Wojda)
Beyond Words $14.99 102 84% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) MindFuel Games
TypInc. $9.99 102 74% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,569) Game Game Games
Heads Up! Phones Down Edition older $39.99 25 64% 750 $30k (exactly $29,992) Aspyr
Birdigo - bird word game $9.99 78 84% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) John August, Corey Martin
Words Can Kill older $7.99 92 70% 2.8k $22k (exactly $22,052) Typing Monkey
Yesterday's News $11.99 18 83% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Rooibos Games
云玩家:口口 $3.99 20 75% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) 猫不在 / Cat404
Words Of Power $15.00 5 80% 150 $2.3k (exactly $2,250) Tsuperion
Play Together: Party Games $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Plot Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.