Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Card Game?

Card Game + Supernatural

Of 30 developers who shipped a Supernatural Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $86k, ×182 the market median. Revenue is up 260% on the market; 58 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 58 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $55k → $240 → $300 → $300 (still earning) → $10k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,635)
Top 5% $87k (exactly $86,513)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 53
Announced 58
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Card Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Roguelike
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,283 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $86k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  10. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marvel's Midnight Suns older $59.99 17,060 82% 512k $31M (exactly $30,702,882) Firaxis Games
Erannorth Reborn older $17.99 386 84% 12k $208k (exactly $208,324) Spyridon Thalassinos
Sumire older $5.99 887 95% 27k $159k (exactly $159,394) GameTomo Team
the cabin game · EA $11.99 362 86% 11k $130k (exactly $130,211) Twisted Corridor👻
Necroking older $4.99 857 81% 26k $128k (exactly $128,293) KORO.GAMES
Tavern Cards older $29.99 142 72% 4.3k $128k (exactly $127,757) Vadd Game
Exorcism Agency $12.99 222 91% 6.7k $87k (exactly $86,513) YINGGUO GAME
Malys $14.99 172 79% 5.2k $77k (exactly $77,348) Summerfall Studios
SEXOPHOBIA 🔞 $14.99 168 78% 5.0k $76k (exactly $75,550) Lewd Star
THE SPIRIT LIFT $19.99 118 94% 3.5k $71k (exactly $70,765) prettysmart games
Deck of Souls $11.99 153 84% 4.6k $55k (exactly $55,034) Bigboot Studios
Futa Succubus Slay! $12.99 26 65% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) Npolish
Cult Leader Simulator $17.99 16 50% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Nhneno
DeckLand · EA $14.99 13 92% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) JellySnow Studio
Battle Of The Abyss $4.99 33 93% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) 1029studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.