Do I ship it?

GamesCard GameCard Game + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Card Game?

Card Game + Space

Of 54 developers who shipped a Space Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 89 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $86k, ×137 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 89 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 89 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Card Game + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 54
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $64k → $1.9k → $23k → $120 → $17k → $2.7k → $300 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Card Game + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 54
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,794)
Top 5% $86k (exactly $86,314)
Developers, 2 yr 54
Released games 115
Announced 89
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Card Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Deckbuilding
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,547 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $720, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $86k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 89 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SteampunkFair15 devs · median $7.6k · 18 announced
  2. + Immersive SimFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 43 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  4. + DogsFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $748 · 24 announced
  6. + Artificial IntelligenceFair40 devs · median $719 · 54 announced
  7. + GamblingFair126 devs · median $600 · 167 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair62 devs · median $539 · 69 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair17 devs · median $537 · 15 announced
  10. + Board GameFair293 devs · median $479 · 382 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair198 devs · median $479 · 206 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $18k · 48 announced

All 159 pairs on the Card Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dune: Imperium older $22.99 3,806 94% 114k $2.6M (exactly $2,624,998) Dire Wolf
Cobalt Core older $19.99 4,067 95% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,438,980) Rocket Rat Games
Terraformers older $19.99 3,031 88% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,817,691) Asteroid Lab
Deep Sky Derelicts older $19.99 1,985 73% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,190,404) Snowhound Games
Tower Tactics: Liberation older $19.99 1,224 88% 37k $734k (exactly $734,033) asraworks
Zet Zillions older $9.99 722 87% 22k $216k (exactly $216,383) OTA IMON Studios
For The Warp older $14.99 434 72% 13k $195k (exactly $195,170) Massive Galaxy Studios
Starless Abyss $19.99 296 83% 8.9k $178k (exactly $177,511) Konafa Games
Colony City 27λ older $10.99 398 87% 12k $131k (exactly $131,221) Bunny Eats Tiger
Race for the Galaxy older $7.99 432 93% 13k $104k (exactly $103,550) Temple Gates Games
Mineral Defense $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Corestone Games
Holder of Place $9.99 288 90% 8.6k $86k (exactly $86,314) Ardent Fields
Stellar Orphans $16.99 139 71% 4.2k $71k (exactly $70,848) Artifex Parvus
Clonizer $14.99 146 82% 4.4k $66k (exactly $65,656) Juicy Plume
Hyperspace Deck Command $19.99 91 95% 2.7k $55k (exactly $54,573) Sleeper Games
ACE Strategy: Mecha Nova $14.99 115 78% 3.5k $52k (exactly $51,716) EMINA STUDIO
Takara Cards $14.99 112 83% 3.4k $50k (exactly $50,366) Post Mortem Pixels
Command Deck · EA $14.99 74 98% 2.2k $33k (exactly $33,278) k-critical
Break Siege · EA $14.99 66 84% 2.0k $30k (exactly $29,680) FojoGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.