Games › Card Game › Card Game + Pirates
Should I ship a Pirate Card Game?
Card Game + Pirates
Only 10 developers shipped a Pirate Card Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pirates Outlaws 2: Heritage, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×4.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $230; 1 in 20 cleared $47k, ×75 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $225 (exactly $225) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) |
| Top 25% | $7.9k (exactly $7,900) |
| Top 5% | $47k (exactly $47,218) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Card Game
- Price point
- $10.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 78% positive over 265 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $230. 34 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SteampunkFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DogsFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Board GameFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Dating SimPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Pirates Outlaws | older | $19.99 | 715 80% | 21k | $429k (exactly $428,785) | Fabled Game |
| | Endless Voyage / 无尽航线 | older | $16.99 | 407 65% | 12k | $207k (exactly $207,448) | Dalaran Game Studio |
| | Dead Man's Draw | older | $6.99 | 439 83% | 13k | $92k (exactly $92,058) | Stardock Entertainment |
| | Table of Tales: The Crooked Crown | older | $19.99 | 110 77% | 3.3k | $66k (exactly $65,967) | Tin Man Games, Zero One Studio |
| | Pirates Outlaws 2: Heritage | · EA | $14.99 | 105 60% | 3.2k | $47k (exactly $47,218) | Fabled Game |
| | Smash Up | older | $6.99 | 141 60% | 4.2k | $30k (exactly $29,568) | Nomad Games |
| | Shadowhand Solitaire | $13.99 | 64 90% | 1.9k | $27k (exactly $26,861) | Grey Alien Games | |
| | CosmoPirates | older | $11.99 | 65 81% | 2.0k | $23k (exactly $23,380) | BlackMoon Design |
| | Seven Seas Solitaire | older | $9.99 | 36 80% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $10,789) | Anawiki Games |
| | HoloSeeker | $3.99 | 66 89% | 2.0k | $7.9k (exactly $7,900) | Imoyokan | |
| | Sunken Stones | $11.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $5.0k (exactly $5,036) | Spritewrench | |
| | Seven Seas Jewels 2 Collector's Edition | $15.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $2.9k (exactly $2,878) | Anawiki Games | |
| | Becoming Captain - The Roguelike Deckbuilder | $10.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $2.3k (exactly $2,308) | Le Havre Création | |
| | Liar's Dice | $7.49 | 1 0% | 30 | $225 (exactly $225) | YOAMB | |
| | Pirates Adventure Solitaire | $6.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | DigiMight | |
| | The Drowned Deal | $3.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | RB Games Studio | |
| | Corsair Fleet: Tides of Plunder | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Velron Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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