Games › Card Game › Card Game + Noir
Should I ship a Noir Card Game?
Card Game + Noir
Of 27 developers who shipped a Noir Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $86k, ×182 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 67 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $535 (exactly $535) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $14,469) |
| Top 5% | $87k (exactly $86,513) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 27 |
| Released games | 50 |
| Announced | 67 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Card Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Battler, Deckbuilding, Strategy
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,488 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SteampunkFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DogsFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Board GameFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Dating SimPoor odds
Comparable games
Menace from the Deep 2024 · $1.3M 
System Crash 2016 · $112k 
Exorcism Agency 2025 · $87k 
Sanatorium - A Mental Asylum Simulator 2025 · $81k 
RogueJack21 2026 · $71k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Menace from the Deep | $16.99 | 2,466 84% | 74k | $1.3M (exactly $1,256,920) | Flat Lab | |
| | System Crash | older | $14.99 | 250 83% | 7.5k | $112k (exactly $112,425) | Rogue Moon Studios |
| | Exorcism Agency | $12.99 | 222 91% | 6.7k | $87k (exactly $86,513) | YINGGUO GAME | |
| | Sanatorium - A Mental Asylum Simulator | $12.99 | 208 59% | 6.2k | $81k (exactly $81,058) | Zeitglas | |
| | RogueJack21 | $11.99 | 196 67% | 5.9k | $71k (exactly $70,501) | Zandbox Studio | |
 | HeistGeist | $19.90 | 116 95% | 3.5k | $69k (exactly $69,252) | Doublequote Studio | |
 | Sunshine Shuffle | older | $9.99 | 156 76% | 4.7k | $47k (exactly $46,753) | Strange Scaffold |
 | Dance of Cards | older | $9.99 | 93 88% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,872) | GoodMorningMrFrog |
 | Furry Sex: Poker 🃏♥️ | older | $6.99 | 97 74% | 2.9k | $20k (exactly $20,341) | Furry Tails |
 | Trading Card Inspector | $6.99 | 89 96% | 2.7k | $19k (exactly $18,663) | Daydream Gallery | |
 | Cheater's Table | · EA | $6.99 | 69 95% | 2.1k | $14k (exactly $14,469) | Lagari |
 | Noir Lords | · EA | $7.99 | 51 96% | 1.5k | $12k (exactly $12,225) | Speed Trail Games |
 | DarkRanger | $6.99 | 51 66% | 1.5k | $11k (exactly $10,695) | 铅笔龙, 偶尔不帅 | |
 | The Midnight Crimes | $10.99 | 20 60% | 600 | $6.6k (exactly $6,594) | DeadlyCrow Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.