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Should I ship a Nature Card Game?
Card Game + Nature
Of 48 developers who shipped a Nature Card Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 28 developers shipped in the last year and 69 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $300 (exactly $300) |
| Top 25% | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) |
| Top 5% | $153k (exactly $152,771) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 48 |
| Released games | 113 |
| Announced | 69 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Card Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Battler, Simulation
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 8,254 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. Nearly all of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Card Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SteampunkFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DogsFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Board GameFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Dating SimPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wingspan | older | $19.99 | 9,807 94% | 294k | $5.9M (exactly $5,881,258) | Monster Couch |
| | Tiny Pasture | $5.99 | 7,055 92% | 212k | $1.3M (exactly $1,267,784) | CaveLiquid | |
| | Spirit Island | older | $24.99 | 1,545 91% | 46k | $1.2M (exactly $1,158,286) | Handelabra Games Inc. |
| | Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator | older | $24.99 | 1,033 77% | 31k | $774k (exactly $774,440) | Broken Arms Games |
| | Zoominoes | $14.99 | 549 91% | 16k | $247k (exactly $246,885) | Starlight Games inc. | |
| | Golf Peaks | older | $4.99 | 1,076 95% | 32k | $161k (exactly $161,077) | Afterburn |
| | Stackmon | $13.99 | 364 75% | 11k | $153k (exactly $152,771) | Riftpoint Entertainment | |
| | Crop Rotation | older | $9.99 | 508 94% | 15k | $152k (exactly $152,248) | Sprouting Potato |
| | Fate of the World | older | $9.99 | 398 79% | 12k | $119k (exactly $119,281) | Red Redemption |
| | Solitaire Beach Season | older | $14.99 | 88 76% | 2.6k | $40k (exactly $39,574) | Creobit |
| | Nature Game System | $19.99 | 49 73% | 1.5k | $29k (exactly $29,385) | North Star Digital Games | |
| | The Last Craftsman | $9.99 | 74 94% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $22,178) | AuraTummyache | |
| | Dimwood | $14.99 | 47 100% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | Inkspun LLC | |
| | Wild City | $9.99 | 63 88% | 1.9k | $19k (exactly $18,881) | Monka Studios | |
| | K2: Digital Edition | $14.99 | 20 85% | 600 | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) | Devon Games | |
| | Wild Country | $24.99 | 11 54% | 330 | $8.2k (exactly $8,247) | Lost Native | |
| | Castaway Hand | $9.99 | 22 36% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | BAOCHUAN |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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