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Should I ship a Card Game Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Card Game
Only 18 developers shipped a Card Game Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Villages & Dungeons, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.3k, ×9.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×457 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.3k (exactly $4,316) |
| Top 25% | $9.4k (exactly $9,444) |
| Top 5% | $217k (exactly $217,249) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Card Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon, Card Game; all of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Dungeon Crawler, Roguelike
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- all of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,335 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
Dungeon Drafters 2023 · $422k 
Villages & Dungeons 2025 · $217k 
Is It Wrong to Repay the Debt in a Dungeon? 2023 · $64k 
Into the Restless Ruins 2025 · $49k 
Lazriel: The Demon's Fall 2023 · $40k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dungeon Drafters | older | $24.99 | 563 76% | 17k | $422k (exactly $422,081) | Manalith Studios |
| | Villages & Dungeons | $6.99 | 1,036 91% | 31k | $217k (exactly $217,249) | CaCaFrog Studio | |
| | Is It Wrong to Repay the Debt in a Dungeon? | older | $17.99 | 118 79% | 3.5k | $64k (exactly $63,685) | Atelier Wanko |
| | Into the Restless Ruins | $14.99 | 109 83% | 3.3k | $49k (exactly $49,017) | Ant Workshop Ltd | |
| | Lazriel: The Demon's Fall | older | $14.99 | 88 90% | 2.6k | $40k (exactly $39,574) | Otakesan |
 | Demonherd Dungeon | $19.99 | 36 72% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $21,589) | Demonherd Team | |
 | ZOR: Pilgrimage of the Slorfs | · EA older | $15.99 | 43 90% | 1.3k | $21k (exactly $20,627) | Righteous Hammer Games |
 | Rune Gate | older | $9.99 | 39 87% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,688) | Devwind |
 | Dungeon Deck | $9.99 | 37 97% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $11,089) | Incinious | |
 | Arcane Ascent | $14.99 | 21 76% | 630 | $9.4k (exactly $9,444) | Catbot Games | |
 | Duck N Roll | $6.99 | 30 96% | 900 | $6.3k (exactly $6,291) | GoldPumpkin Inc. | |
 | Mech Shuffle | $9.99 | 19 94% | 570 | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) | PillBugGames | |
 | Defense&Making | · EA | $13.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) | 3DAYS |
 | Treasure Atlas | · EA | $11.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $4.3k (exactly $4,316) | zzeerr |
 | Card Rogue | $4.99 | 22 63% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | Game Tsukuru Kun |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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